TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd7cb…5e13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.98
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$98.88
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$127.98
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$51.94
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+43.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$189
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$99
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO5) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 11.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 12.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.45
P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.25
Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 15.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST+316.7%+$304
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$240
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Buccaneersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST+150%+$184.16
Jaguars vs. Lionsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$61.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)backed Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ALDS: Royals vs. Yankees Game 3backed Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$9.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Phoenix Mercury win the 2024 WNBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.