Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabc22c94a4d62aee0a1b459a13823fdc6742812ef2058b54e92c3fb6ac79e87f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,960 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 52c | 30,176$15,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,484.3 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Under | 51c | 29,139$14,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,278.1 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under | 50c | 14,541$7,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,219.32 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.7wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 49c | 9,900$4,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,851 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Under | 51c | 9,608$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,707.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 9,045$4,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522.6 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 8,800$4,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296.09 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 7,601$3,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,715.46 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +20.5wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 6,646$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.77 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 6,552$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176.9 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under | 50c | 4,416$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 2,900$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 49c | 2,551$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 53c | 1,833$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.94 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe39…5c3cbacked Under | 53c | 1,694$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 50c | 1,481$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.26 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +13.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 47c | 1,054$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.49 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Under | 53c | 566$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 51c | 538.1$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.05 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 49c | 500$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 47c | 454.98$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.84 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Over | 51c | 394.09$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Over | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2596…fd5abacked Under | 61c | 327.18$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 52c | 299.91$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 49c | 299.86$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.93 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 53c | 297.75$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.94 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 16c | 280$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 28c | 241$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Under | 50c | 240$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 174 | 64.9%113 W · 61 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 50c | 237.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.87 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Under | 50c | 226.48$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1c…0e2cbacked Over | 49c | 223$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 49c | 221.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 51c | 212$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…5e13backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7123…59b9backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 50c | 194.65$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 50c | 191.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.01 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 52c | 179.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 48c | 168.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under | 50c | 160$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 142 | 65.5%93 W · 49 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 50c | 152.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…30febacked Under | 50c | 152$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Over | 7c | 147.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 50c | 145.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5154…ea77backed Over | 50c | 141.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 139.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67fc…722bbacked Under | 52c | 138.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 134.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 48c | 123.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 35c | 120.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 52c | 119.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 52c | 119.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 110.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 49c | 107.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 52c | 103.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.