Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd436cf8414f0e2e2febeb4d9481e170dd1b69274238fc0545fbd9f8b07a2f0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,779 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 9,490$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,557.8 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Over | 74c | 3,874$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.18 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 26c | 1,398$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.86 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 50c | 788.69$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.02 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 746.36$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.25 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 57c | 663$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.66 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 74c | 608.11$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 60c | 494$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 53c | 430.79$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.14 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 33c | 419$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 344.13$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 44c | 338.63$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 41c | 338.39$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 58c | 330$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Over | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…c7b4backed Over | 13c | 263.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Over | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 40c | 220$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Over | 41c | 219$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.85 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 208.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.8 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…5e69backed Over | 51c | 203$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…d541backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 35c | 163.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 14c | 156.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…997fbacked Over | 12c | 123.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Over | 27c | 123.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 29c | 123$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 12c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 112.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 63c | 110.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 53c | 109.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 32c | 100.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…8ca5backed Over | 45c | 87.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ea…1c3fbacked Over | 39c | 78.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…3fa2backed Over | 23c | 74.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 52c | 73.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Under | 32c | 71.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 57c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 73c | 49.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400e…374bbacked Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…87eebacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 24c | 43.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 43c | 42.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 24c | 42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…d7abbacked Over | 41c | 41.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 27c | 39.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 38.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0718…fccebacked Over | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed Over | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 50c | 34.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 43cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…9378backed Over | 38c | 27.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 57c | 26.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 54c | 18.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.