Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99680c784ba8801e0a90cf4c4139d5cb4cb415e798d4583a616e79ab4df0e1b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,214 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 28c | 35,020$9,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,805.71 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 34,580$25,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.99 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 20c | 1,487$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.43 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Under | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.48 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.08 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 25c | 943.42$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.13 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 72c | 763.5$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.78 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 73c | 757.81$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.61 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 28c | 700$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 74c | 554.05$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.05 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 23c | 289.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 73c | 277.17$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 73c | 263.01$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 27c | 249.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 72c | 226.48$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 73c | 178.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 73c | 124.07$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 27c | 119.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 19c | 100.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 27c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 76c | 69.65$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 72c | 69.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 27c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 27c | 65.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 27c | 63.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b2…013fbacked Under | 73c | 52.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 26c | 51.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5985…a8cabacked Under | 72c | 48.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 72c | 35.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 73c | 16.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.