Premier League · resolved market
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc430cbcdfb8444c87c198d2e09581e3b7cd4b95d84a4893741077e717f8aff1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,827 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 3,104$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.31 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 34c | 1,499$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.78 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 39c | 1,119$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.04 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 8c | 626.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 162 | 37.7%61 W · 101 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked No | 45c | 447.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.63 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 45c | 408.82$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.87 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…25a5backed Yes | 57c | 262.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed Yes | 56c | 236$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 45c | 234$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 220.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 200.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.54 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…31e3backed Yes | 55c | 184.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 22c | 182.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 125.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 43c | 116.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 74c | 97.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 45c | 78.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 34c | 40.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa989…3fefbacked Yes | 56c | 35.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 407 | 21.9%89 W · 318 L | -53.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x458a…972ebacked No | 45c | 22.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 65c | 21.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yes | 57c | 21.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ed…acdebacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.