TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Magic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof Hornets, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,007

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2aa5…ff32backed Magic78c14,098$11,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,092.518046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed Magic74c7,220$5,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,884.621968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+86.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Magic79c4,099$3,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.3211459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Hornets28c4,000$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.9646131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hornets3c3,528$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.591,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab15…dd2fbacked Hornets4c3,208$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.814712.8%6 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e8…b92abacked Magic70c2,845$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.732152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e5d…ad4fbacked Hornets28c2,752$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7701136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Hornets29c2,552$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.949130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc88…681abacked Hornets30c2,487$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7462142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…46d2backed Magic72c2,446$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.833053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Magic75c2,358$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.3570147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef8…dce7backed Hornets26c2,068$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.681250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+75.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fde…ed39backed Hornets25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a4f…79fbbacked Hornets30c1,790$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5372231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x59ef…0a27backed Magic71c1,777$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.462556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets22c1,748$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.311,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Hornets17c1,650$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.511926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x801e…8d2ebacked Hornets29c1,588$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Magic75c1,551$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.7333752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0a…63abbacked Hornets20c1,422$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.684434.1%15 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets10c1,354$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.41,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Hornets25c1,340$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33527939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Hornets18c1,261$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5619137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Hornets3c1,200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic73c1,114$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.6876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4779…7bcabacked Magic73c1,110$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.692661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8326…da54backed Magic74c1,077$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.061346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Magic73c1,011$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1847656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e3…21d5backed Hornets26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x564c…4ccdbacked Magic70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hornets25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc038…c76ebacked Hornets31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Hornets25c999.75$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9416242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…33d8backed Magic73c985.25$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.021330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x833d…faedbacked Hornets26c984.87$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.071040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Hornets31c963.6$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7210058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53bc…4fd1backed Hornets24c958.63$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x159f…90ccbacked Magic73c958$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a7…2196backed Hornets25c899.96$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.991050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Hornets27c823.96$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.474637%17 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cb…5e13backed Hornets30c800$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Hornets19c796.68$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4165218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0238…ba26backed Hornets26c781$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.062227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…4ae4backed Hornets5c750$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4622…8a18backed Hornets27c748.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+101.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hornets27c704.84$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46fc…230fbacked Magic71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7424…129ebacked Hornets30c700$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433e…3f60backed Hornets29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700d…fa25backed Magic75c686.27$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.57520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25fd…04f2backed Hornets27c686.26$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Hornets28c670.74$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1856851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc252…5bb4backed Hornets28c606.4$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.82825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+68.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2eb…f1b0backed Hornets25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdec9…2af9backed Hornets11c532.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.71729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Hornets29c526.33$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2219642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Hornets5c500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2313611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Hornets26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Magic73c499.66$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.914940.8%20 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd4de…a998backed Magic75c490.19$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.55650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff0…f4f4backed Hornets27c490.19$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.35850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfda0…e18abacked Hornets31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2967…4517backed Magic75c472.34$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.311758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7254…e002backed Magic71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c88…4c64backed Hornets30c420$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Hornets30c416.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hornets15c406.09$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.431,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe456…ad4fbacked Magic74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0026…cd66backed Hornets28c400$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11111428.1%32 W · 82 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb88…0e56backed Magic71c398$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.421662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Hornets27c392.15$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5412247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a97…0fc7backed Hornets26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick37cpaid+52%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf80a…1a16backed Hornets27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-67.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4adc…e731backed Hornets25c360.44$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17de…8b83backed Magic73c324$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.481266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce88…4d96backed Hornets30c320$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3002…a7dcbacked Magic71c319.56$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.67875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6d…17d8backed Hornets31c304.61$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6967…1986backed Magic74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Hornets26c299.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7826547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Magic75c295.86$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2628063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Hornets16c290.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0511332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…5419backed Magic71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.694351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x432d…a2d4backed Hornets25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.53447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Magic74c249.33$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3310462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets22c214.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7799…0bd5backed Magic70c209.25$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.781163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+69.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb222…fe5bbacked Magic74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3590…148cbacked Magic70c200$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.13256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce3…8438backed Hornets17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick25cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadd9…6333backed Magic70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Hornets25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016345.4%74 W · 89 L-14.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Magic69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623655.6%20 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Hornets25c199.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9918437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8163…e061backed Magic74c199.93$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.982638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Hornets26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2795…42c9backed Hornets29c188.3$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd8…9ad8backed Magic70c187.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5e…b372backed Hornets27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.