Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8706bfc29d3fd296db62f1ff544d8f53df0b4cdca668538dbc4087c09162e1f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,790 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 48c | 99,125$47,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,525.63 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 80,485$39,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,479.16 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 47c | 50,040$23,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,288.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 29,408$17,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,629.12 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 26,500$13,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,720 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 21,018$10,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,890.79 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Over | 52c | 15,272$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 51c | 11,765$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 53c | 11,321$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 10,333$5,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,289.21 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 52c | 10,242$5,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,916.16 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.9 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Under | 52c | 9,075$4,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Over | 40c | 8,977$3,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,590.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 52c | 8,462$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…23eebacked Under | 54c | 8,041$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 7,375$4,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.96 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 53c | 6,706$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.17 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 5,746$3,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.18 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 54c | 4,234$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.01 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.98 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9136…8e9dbacked Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…d2f0backed Over | 51c | 3,673$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 3,479$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.4 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 53c | 3,008$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.99 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 46c | 2,826$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 52c | 2,602$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -6.7wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 54c | 2,568$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.38 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 54c | 2,462$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Over | 53c | 2,251$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Over | 42c | 1,950$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 53c | 1,738$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 51c | 1,381$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.82 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 54c | 1,106$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.03 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.52 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 51c | 992.16$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…faffbacked Under | 54c | 989.72$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 47c | 977.42$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.39 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 28c | 952.67$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.88 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 33c | 899.9$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.97 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 13c | 887.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Over | 19c | 744.34$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.95 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 54c | 702$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 54c | 556$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.76 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x142e…f6e4backed Over | 54c | 521.26$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 425.34$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 40c | 357.3$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Over | 53c | 330$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 47c | 320.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 46c | 319.36$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.41 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 280.11$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.06 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 18c | 271.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 55c | 267.37$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.61 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 39c | 259.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…87eebacked Over | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 62c | 230.37$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 47c | 230$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 52c | 210$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…5e13backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…4dffbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 54c | 185.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…c1cfbacked Over | 46c | 177$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: 1. FC Union Berlin (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)1. FC Union Berlin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.