TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Lanús win on 2026-03-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,079 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes57c15,703$8,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,752.895046%23 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes58c15,552$9,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,531.963354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No16c12,678$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.368,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c5,306$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.885,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No42c4,325$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.6337851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked No2c4,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05c…66b9backed No2c3,733$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5055259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes57c3,021$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.122055%11 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0752263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No43c2,400$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03212757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes58c1,827$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.7110155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.716058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No42c1,446$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.73,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No43c1,111$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.941533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes57c1,066$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.392673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes79c1,017$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.212,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked No2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3445160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed No2c800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+240.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No43c756.01$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.071,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed No7c706$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.661816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+82.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No42c700$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2944953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked No2c588.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+38.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2154656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2154153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No42c476$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9217946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2357…b74dbacked No7c431.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17211459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Yes55c370$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No42c317$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.551,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No43c280$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.45752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2418433.2%61 W · 123 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8619…c45ebacked Yes56c221.82$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+48.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7cb…5e13backed No42c199.95$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked No43c185.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.983351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No42c176.61$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.181,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No43c175$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.255160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No43c175$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.257856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4131745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No43c162.41$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8427053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No43c160$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.83857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No42c152.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.691,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed No43c152.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.57153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes56c142.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8676951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No43c140$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.26558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No43c140$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.23759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No43c140$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.215359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No43c139.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No42c126.51$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.139956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No43c125$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.754654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No43c125$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7517960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No43c125$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.756962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No44c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.467548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.67055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.613557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No42c107.87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.32,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433959%23 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434050%20 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4351654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437058.6%41 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6242…3d43backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes59c98.31$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3110331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Yes58c96.4$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.94850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes69c89.43$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Yes58c86.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.22653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.849449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No43c79.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.388045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No42c75.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.746842.6%29 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes57c71.28$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6547756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes79c67.67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked No44c62.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.54252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed No43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.84163.4%26 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x116e…f26fbacked Yes58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.85560%33 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No43c59.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.928231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked No43c57.93$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.973253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6b…591abacked No45c56.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.681338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed No43c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.654259.5%25 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445c…c4f1backed Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.724959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.53447.1%16 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked No43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.53759.5%22 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked No43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.54052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.517560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.