TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,149 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf19d…276fbacked Over50c51,389$25,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,440.032133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c33,686$18,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,673.424,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c18,872$9,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,058.7369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Under0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over41c9,000$3,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,309.978041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over41c8,000$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,719.9830446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under59c8,000$4,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,719.9524147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over42c7,202$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,179.5424047.9%115 W · 125 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under50c5,002$2,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.761330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c4,494$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.323,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbb…c561backed Over23c4,278$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,277.51250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c3,770$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.5462258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c3,229$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.471,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over42c3,149$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.493327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+70.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1003438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.951662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf58c…4dffbacked Under59c2,373$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8061…1ca2backed Under52c2,251$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under59c2,037$1,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,202955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Under52c1,905$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under59c1,631$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9691136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over48c1,600$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.993948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under58c1,511$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.332,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under2c1,418$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.165520%11 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under58c1,293$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.948251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7506750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b7…cef9backed Over40c1,242$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.185100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+87.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over40c1,214$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.6350149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Over51c1,047$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5804254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Under60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005141.2%21 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59064046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Under53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over54c928.33$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.425341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over33c902.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.956642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over37c900$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5679751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over35c803.69$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.1511336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Under66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004040%16 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under62c664.7$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.411,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under58c645.51$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.395757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over48c617$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.0219662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over40c562.93$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.7611741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x883c…474dbacked Over55c538.18$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8211929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over41c507.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.7235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5e…9733backed Over54c503.7$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.71250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Under60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1912445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Over46c460$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.21442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over34c447.06$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.065143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over41c414.63$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.6320843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1417128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over49c344.81$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.173053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over42c321.43$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.436478.1%50 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over34c316.22$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.2217458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over48c312.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6722553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over24c304.21$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.28236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20116845.8%77 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over25c300$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2254847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1807750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x333b…c557backed Over26c299.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.992853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under58c272.87$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2621957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c259.77$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.161,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+82.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.25967.8%40 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.273138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under53c227$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.035137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4222729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over48c206.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.793540%14 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over41c200$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8942851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7cb…5e13backed Over41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11629053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under58c199.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9916151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under52c189.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.141147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Under48c184.65$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.635644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.414950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95d0…9bf3backed Over42c178.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under25c170.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6327850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over41c169.66$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4424344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over41c169.61$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.076464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over42c168.1$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Under51c165.62$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over47c161.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8711855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over41c160$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.86256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdefe…3f87backed Over35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+162%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8714244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Under67c149.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004468.2%30 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under56c145.92$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5413648.5%66 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under58c124.29$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0989050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab72…0888backed Under58c124.14$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…6484backed Over41c122$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.982560%15 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9514850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.