La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c19f7c48055f4b0646c2a6f2d2fcdd2fcb492645794de71da8951105e5ff02d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,027 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x843e…e477backed Over | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 21c | 2,315$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 28c | 2,000$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.22 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 79c | 1,303$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.62 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 21c | 1,301$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.23 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 80c | 543.75$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.75 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 14c | 529.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 20c | 355.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 19c | 321.76$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…6178backed Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…5b63backed Under | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 16c | 296.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc791…3589backed Under | 76c | 296.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7255…3175backed Over | 24c | 296.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef1…352ebacked Over | 9c | 256.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Under | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 19c | 246.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 80c | 238.75$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 21c | 229.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 22c | 200.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 180.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 24c | 160.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Under | 79c | 130.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 24c | 128$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…9a65backed Under | 75c | 94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 80c | 93.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 74c | 91.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 25c | 81.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 21c | 80.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 16c | 73.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Under | 78c | 70.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 20c | 62.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 19c | 60.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 75c | 53.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…87eebacked Under | 77c | 26.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…887ebacked Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 74cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x079c…a211backed Under | 78c | 17.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 80c | 15.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.