Premier League · resolved market
Will Man City win on 2024-10-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd847e371920c5197c5ad4b49d07c2ca17f078fbe5bc915c8627be9a9a63f7117
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 26c | 26,424$6,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,797.95 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 26c | 25,652$6,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,561.57 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…f6fbbacked Yes | 78c | 16,653$13,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Yes | 74c | 14,149$10,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,678.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 72c | 11,871$8,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 26c | 10,183$2,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.74 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…1f75backed Yes | 77c | 8,884$6,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…a62cbacked Yes | 76c | 6,973$5,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,671.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 22c | 3,993$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.44 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…0901backed Yes | 76c | 2,776$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.14 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 24c | 2,611$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.63 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5f…ce01backed Yes | 75c | 2,324$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…2662backed Yes | 75c | 2,286$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 24c | 2,158$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.51 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 22c | 1,948$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.94 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…2304backed Yes | 79c | 1,884$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 27c | 1,842$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.45 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 75c | 1,702$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.4 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 33c | 1,459$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.9 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 31c | 1,212$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.02 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 76c | 1,151$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.12 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,150$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.5 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…b7edbacked Yes | 72c | 1,015$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 23c | 955$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.65 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 77c | 955$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.65 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…b9cfbacked Yes | 67c | 900$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed No | 24c | 881.48$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd874…a314backed Yes | 77c | 833.86$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 24c | 797.59$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.42 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e91…45b8backed Yes | 76c | 796.11$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 78c | 769.66$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 22c | 692.4$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.4 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 76c | 620.56$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.93 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…00f3backed Yes | 69c | 575.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.63 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 75c | 566.25$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes | 77c | 556.2$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.93 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 30c | 550$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986d…e281backed Yes | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 70c | 480$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 77c | 476.25$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.54 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed Yes | 56c | 435.71$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 76c | 405.53$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x940e…081cbacked No | 25c | 392.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 66c | 373.97$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.69 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…a827backed Yes | 76c | 368.42$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde6a…596fbacked Yes | 74c | 341.89$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 20c | 332$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.98 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef44backed Yes | 76c | 328.06$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…b376backed Yes | 64c | 325.14$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x394d…8240backed Yes | 74c | 323.15$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…0225backed No | 12c | 321.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Yes | 77c | 298.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed No | 24c | 279.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…b755backed Yes | 76c | 265.34$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 76c | 265$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x687f…b05fbacked No | 36c | 263.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Yes | 74c | 258.19$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee3…4031backed Yes | 68c | 250.25$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 77c | 240$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e9…8b5bbacked Yes | 77c | 235.76$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…6b7fbacked Yes | 78c | 225.76$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 77c | 222.4$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 23c | 221.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…6079backed Yes | 77c | 220$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32dc…51abbacked Yes | 63c | 208.32$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 76c | 199.96$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…92eebacked Yes | 76c | 198.86$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed Yes | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f1…a619backed Yes | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes | 79c | 189.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 22c | 185.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 24c | 183.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 72c | 180.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 61c | 179.65$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdff…8bd9backed Yes | 76c | 179.28$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 72c | 175$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…d728backed Yes | 76c | 169.79$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 75c | 169$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x740f…231fbacked Yes | 76c | 167.55$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Yes | 78c | 161.29$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -7.0wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 30c | 160.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…fe3dbacked Yes | 76c | 160.14$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked Yes | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b2…736cbacked Yes | 76c | 144.57$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 74c | 140.54$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 25c | 133.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…1e80backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8271…2d20backed Yes | 76c | 132.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…03b6backed Yes | 77c | 131.94$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…1ab7backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6c…597cbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Man City win on 2024-10-20?this page
- Will Wolves vs. Man City end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2024-10-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.