NFL · resolved market
Commanders vs. Buccaneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c9a59e9f309273ab4338fc5f2c7f1d424875143751d2fcea08f5e605b411f81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Commanders, Buccaneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,031,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,131,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,031,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 718 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Commanders | 46c | 301,643$137,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,847.11 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Commanders | 49c | 187,227$92,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,085.45 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Commanders | 41c | 170,707$69,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,716.89 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…4422backed Buccaneers | 54c | 162,074$87,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,747.23 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Buccaneers | 58c | 123,261$71,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,871.02 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Commanders | 59c | 44,010$25,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,120.02 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Commanders | 52c | 42,895$22,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,790.01 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Commanders | 49c | 41,302$20,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,009.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Commanders | 44c | 38,814$17,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,666.56 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Buccaneers | 60c | 37,149$22,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,289.21 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Commanders | 40c | 37,010$14,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,212.15 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Commanders | 40c | 36,732$14,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,179.43 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Buccaneers | 59c | 36,484$21,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,590.56 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Buccaneers | 60c | 34,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Commanders | 57c | 32,920$18,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,126.61 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Buccaneers | 54c | 27,806$15,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,096.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Buccaneers | 56c | 19,000$10,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,545.75 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Buccaneers | 59c | 17,885$10,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,589.77 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Buccaneers | 57c | 16,105$9,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,181.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Buccaneers | 69c | 15,766$10,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,833.33 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Commanders | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.91 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Commanders | 57c | 14,537$8,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,189.31 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0473…b5bfbacked Commanders | 50c | 14,063$6,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,094.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Commanders | 51c | 14,057$7,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,868.59 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f5…18a3backed Buccaneers | 61c | 13,715$8,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,366.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +134%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…9e8ebacked Buccaneers | 61c | 13,122$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Buccaneers | 61c | 13,044$7,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,956.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Commanders | 72c | 12,953$9,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Buccaneers | 9c | 12,372$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.94 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Commanders | 41c | 11,486$4,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,777.45 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Buccaneers | 56c | 11,418$6,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,394.29 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Buccaneers | 61c | 10,702$6,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,475.54 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Commanders | 40c | 8,350$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,010 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…27bbbacked Buccaneers | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Buccaneers | 56c | 7,258$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.45 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b8ecbacked Buccaneers | 54c | 7,092$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,829.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…6132backed Commanders | 37c | 6,783$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.07 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Commanders | 73c | 6,298$4,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Buccaneers | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.99 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Buccaneers | 61c | 5,744$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Commanders | 54c | 5,522$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.1 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Commanders | 44c | 5,500$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa37f…8e2dbacked Buccaneers | 3c | 5,165$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Buccaneers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Buccaneers | 60c | 4,922$2,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.23 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…3ae9backed Commanders | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.05 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Commanders | 44c | 4,851$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.07 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Commanders | 49c | 4,614$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.97 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…8936backed Commanders | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…4414backed Commanders | 40c | 3,912$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Commanders | 51c | 3,855$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.64 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Commanders | 45c | 3,607$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.87 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Commanders | 40c | 3,423$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.11 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Buccaneers | 61c | 3,340$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.35 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…fb60backed Commanders | 58c | 3,323$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.77 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Buccaneers | 47c | 3,283$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…e7fcbacked Buccaneers | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Buccaneers | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Commanders | 46c | 3,079$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.77 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Commanders | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Buccaneers | 15c | 2,950$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Commanders | 42c | 2,855$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.54 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…7361backed Buccaneers | 61c | 2,787$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed Commanders | 60c | 2,647$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.38 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…07d4backed Commanders | 40c | 2,628$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Commanders | 44c | 2,578$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.25 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Commanders | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Commanders | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Commanders | 52c | 2,454$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.78 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7000…bf9cbacked Commanders | 40c | 2,391$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Commanders | 40c | 2,353$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.38 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f0…70aabacked Commanders | 40c | 2,289$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.62 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Buccaneers | 57c | 2,235$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.78 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Buccaneers | 60c | 2,215$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Commanders | 41c | 2,121$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.66 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Buccaneers | 24c | 2,101$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.4 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Commanders | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.77 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Commanders | 52c | 2,100$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Commanders | 52c | 2,032$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.29 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Buccaneers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Buccaneers | 58c | 2,000$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…45dbbacked Buccaneers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Commanders | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Commanders | 50c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Buccaneers | 61c | 1,967$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Commanders | 41c | 1,881$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…c2bfbacked Buccaneers | 52c | 1,878$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…dae7backed Commanders | 44c | 1,854$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…d9f4backed Buccaneers | 60c | 1,786$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81bd…6954backed Buccaneers | 44c | 1,757$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Buccaneers | 49c | 1,654$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.47 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…0df5backed Buccaneers | 60c | 1,653$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Commanders | 42c | 1,615$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.89 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Commanders | 55c | 1,568$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.19 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Commanders | 41c | 1,547$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.73 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked Commanders | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ae…0268backed Commanders | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.41 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Buccaneers | 59c | 1,401$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…7da8backed Commanders | 41c | 1,335$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Commanders | 55c | 1,316$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.28 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.