NFL · resolved market
Jaguars vs. Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b04e4d381c0b83d92146f6a0a98e5e0ba4d6f6e1d43e00b49723882bc6bf9e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Jaguars, Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $629,862
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $608,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $629,862 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Jaguars | 7c | 84,844$5,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,833.54 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Jaguars | 12c | 52,331$6,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,427.3 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073d…65f2backed Jaguars | 13c | 20,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Jaguars | 10c | 15,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Jaguars | 2c | 13,533$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.33 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Jaguars | 11c | 11,999$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.89 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Jaguars | 11c | 11,286$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.67 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed6…e8aabacked Jaguars | 12c | 10,542$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Jaguars | 10c | 7,480$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Jaguars | 9c | 7,200$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.96 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Jaguars | 8c | 6,725$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.61 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jaguars | 10c | 5,984$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.42 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439d…4a10backed Jaguars | 6c | 5,500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b5…a7dfbacked Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce0…61c9backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…aa83backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…4cc6backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…92b2backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…cbe5backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412b…f117backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…3791backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…8208backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1f86backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…5711backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…5e7cbacked Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…cbb9backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…be1abacked Jaguars | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…0100backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…d5f7backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…df07backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…d9d0backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…b917backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…bb66backed Jaguars | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…ede1backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…96efbacked Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…d370backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…aed3backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…ac41backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…cb73backed Jaguars | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Jaguars | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Jaguars | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jaguars | 1c | 3,940$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e3…2b53backed Jaguars | 11c | 3,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Jaguars | 9c | 3,000$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.67 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Jaguars | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Jaguars | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Jaguars | 3c | 2,500$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Jaguars | 9c | 2,050$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Jaguars | 11c | 1,600$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.98 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f2…4216backed Jaguars | 13c | 1,275$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…f9a2backed Jaguars | 13c | 1,023$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jaguars | 10c | 1,005$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Jaguars | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Jaguars | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Jaguars | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Jaguars | 6c | 962.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Jaguars | 5c | 900$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf813…0073backed Jaguars | 13c | 692.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Jaguars | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc726…c39abacked Jaguars | 4c | 600$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…7220backed Jaguars | 2c | 583.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…0759backed Jaguars | 12c | 567.34$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Jaguars | 13c | 558.44$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…097ebacked Jaguars | 14c | 535.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…318bbacked Jaguars | 13c | 520.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…5e13backed Jaguars | 12c | 511.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Jaguars | 11c | 499.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jaguars | 10c | 495$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…7295backed Jaguars | 12c | 474.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…e88abacked Jaguars | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4809…9e7bbacked Jaguars | 11c | 452.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…b199backed Jaguars | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Jaguars | 7c | 399.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…dc5fbacked Jaguars | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…c738backed Jaguars | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Jaguars | 7c | 365.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…60cfbacked Jaguars | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Jaguars | 12c | 350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1e…37e2backed Jaguars | 14c | 322.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36be…e8a7backed Jaguars | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…11f9backed Jaguars | 13c | 244.76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…62f8backed Jaguars | 8c | 240.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…d9e7backed Jaguars | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Jaguars | 13c | 222$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Jaguars | 12c | 219.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Jaguars | 12c | 218.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2372…c9a0backed Jaguars | 12c | 210$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Jaguars | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Jaguars | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Jaguars | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3670…18e8backed Jaguars | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873f…14efbacked Jaguars | 13c | 153$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…a373backed Jaguars | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…1205backed Jaguars | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Jaguars | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…b372backed Jaguars | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…d190backed Jaguars | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Jaguars | 11c | 99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Jaguars | 13c | 93.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a3…6e31backed Jaguars | 13c | 81.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.