Tennis · resolved market
Murcia: Sebastian Ofner vs Roberto Carballes Baena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd46a225f352b3cadd9cb83909c5183e46bdf98aa792b0aee233b3b3eabe5edd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roberto Carballes Baenaof Sebastian Ofner, Roberto Carballes Baena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,765 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d40…4737backed Sebastian Ofner | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Sebastian Ofner | 14c | 11,872$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 53c | 10,581$5,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,011.25 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 48c | 8,455$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,427.01 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sebastian Ofner | 19c | 7,707$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.38 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…03b0backed Sebastian Ofner | 31c | 7,500$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.09 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Sebastian Ofner | 40c | 5,663$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Sebastian Ofner | 38c | 5,259$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,128 | 27.9%315 W · 813 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 70c | 4,627$3,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.21 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 66c | 4,077$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.79 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 58c | 4,022$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.13 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca7…4ea0backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 26c | 3,784$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb998…9bbabacked Sebastian Ofner | 74c | 3,605$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 48c | 3,594$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.76 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Sebastian Ofner | 45c | 3,388$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.9 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Sebastian Ofner | 74c | 3,299$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.42 | 155 | 65.2%101 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sebastian Ofner | 69c | 3,206$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.76 | 1,920 | 55.4%1,064 W · 856 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 39c | 3,122$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.65 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 2,848$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.19 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Sebastian Ofner | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 79c | 2,620$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.85 | 1,020 | 49.9%509 W · 511 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 28c | 2,000$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.52 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Sebastian Ofner | 71c | 1,978$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.26 | 654 | 59%386 W · 268 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 1,971$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.67 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 77c | 1,971$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.6 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 42c | 1,806$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.6 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 30c | 1,660$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.11 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b08…1531backed Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 1,482$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 68c | 1,298$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.31 | 332 | 46.4%154 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…e574backed Sebastian Ofner | 74c | 1,170$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.34 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 46c | 1,147$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.74 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 57c | 1,145$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.16 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 36c | 1,113$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.92 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…6f28backed Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 1,078$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Sebastian Ofner | 2c | 1,025$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…4015backed Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 988.2$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.7 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 44c | 945.2$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.96 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…414fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 41c | 941$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +126%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Sebastian Ofner | 19c | 940.87$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.35 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 30c | 938$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.13 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 50c | 934.04$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.05 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 37c | 924.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.05 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 42c | 920$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7011backed Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 902$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d4…b35fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 837$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 21c | 771$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…f317backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 52c | 768$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…adafbacked Sebastian Ofner | 38c | 762.08$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sebastian Ofner | 50c | 758.3$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.46 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5a…4636backed Sebastian Ofner | 48c | 741$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Sebastian Ofner | 68c | 735.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.44 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 34c | 712.57$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.51 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Sebastian Ofner | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 45c | 664.76$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.82 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Sebastian Ofner | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…dabdbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 38c | 656$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 648.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.01 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…d6d5backed Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 645.99$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +150%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sebastian Ofner | 15c | 628.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 611.63$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.08 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Sebastian Ofner | 5c | 611.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 599.1$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.8 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…e646backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 58c | 597$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +317%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…720bbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 26c | 589$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…d916backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 52c | 584$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…e99cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 48c | 577$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…df83backed Sebastian Ofner | 48c | 553$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Sebastian Ofner | 56c | 552$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.88 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…de78backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 41c | 542$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 30c | 537.2$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.04 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…dc38backed Sebastian Ofner | 71c | 533.8$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13a…ef05backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 533$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6657…8e4fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 49c | 532.36$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.54 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Sebastian Ofner | 63c | 528$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.64 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bc…8ce5backed Sebastian Ofner | 7c | 520.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f2…168abacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 52c | 518$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 35c | 508.57$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sebastian Ofner | 56c | 501.49$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.64 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Sebastian Ofner | 74c | 493.5$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.48 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe82c…4d90backed Sebastian Ofner | 9c | 490.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 30c | 480$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 36c | 466.6$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.79 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Sebastian Ofner | 53c | 463.76$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463e…fa8ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 56c | 447.9$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.03 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Sebastian Ofner | 45c | 446.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sebastian Ofner | 48c | 437.61$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.23 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 57c | 431.32$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.52 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 428.74$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 57c | 420.81$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.71 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 64c | 415.42$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.27 | 2,144 | 54.2%1,162 W · 982 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 49c | 390.09$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.72 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sebastian Ofner | 73c | 384.68$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.03 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…286ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena | 38c | 358$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…b2b4backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 28c | 356.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.42 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Sebastian Ofner | 71c | 354.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…32fcbacked Sebastian Ofner | 12c | 351.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…52f6backed Roberto Carballes Baena | 58c | 351$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…d35abacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 348$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Sebastian Ofner | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -8.8wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Murcia: Sebastian Ofner vs Roberto Carballes Baenathis page
- Ofner vs. Baena: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Ofner vs. Baena: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Sebastian Ofner vs. Roberto Carballes Baena: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Ofner vs BaenaBaena won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.