Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4b785fd7080f4a4da14b24cdca22c82192b0d2f0e467bd714411d65dd3134f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adam Waltonof Adam Walton, Sebastian Baez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,504 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34b9…51f6backed Adam Walton | 45c | 35,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,249.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Sebastian Baez | 55c | 34,146$18,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,780.24 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Adam Walton | 44c | 28,823$12,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,121.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Adam Walton | 44c | 26,754$11,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,982.37 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Sebastian Baez | 56c | 12,346$6,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,913.58 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Sebastian Baez | 56c | 12,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.96 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Sebastian Baez | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Adam Walton | 76c | 5,279$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.54 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Adam Walton | 46c | 4,887$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.24 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Sebastian Baez | 56c | 4,600$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sebastian Baez | 56c | 4,472$2,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.6 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Adam Walton | 44c | 4,358$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.02 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…ddd0backed Sebastian Baez | 57c | 4,066$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.82 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Sebastian Baez | 15c | 3,287$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Sebastian Baez | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sebastian Baez | 47c | 2,990$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.34 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…fd24backed Sebastian Baez | 60c | 2,492$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.79 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Sebastian Baez | 19c | 2,364$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Sebastian Baez | 54c | 2,338$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.49 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Sebastian Baez | 57c | 2,200$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.98 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Sebastian Baez | 42c | 2,094$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.55 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Sebastian Baez | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Sebastian Baez | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Adam Walton | 46c | 1,565$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.35 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sebastian Baez | 21c | 1,554$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Adam Walton | 64c | 1,524$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Adam Walton | 80c | 1,511$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.15 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Adam Walton | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sebastian Baez | 1c | 1,381$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Adam Walton | 41c | 1,209$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.12 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522a…0076backed Adam Walton | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.13 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Adam Walton | 39c | 1,000$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.5 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…a96bbacked Adam Walton | 74c | 980.27$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.58 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Sebastian Baez | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Sebastian Baez | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Sebastian Baez | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Sebastian Baez | 57c | 858.02$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.07 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Sebastian Baez | 59c | 784.38$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Sebastian Baez | 27c | 746.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Adam Walton | 43c | 695.94$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.46 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Sebastian Baez | 55c | 682.91$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.6 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…4a0cbacked Adam Walton | 44c | 682.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Adam Walton | 69c | 680.8$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.32 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…a9f1backed Sebastian Baez | 56c | 660$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Sebastian Baez | 55c | 622.79$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.53 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sebastian Baez | 58c | 605$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.8 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Sebastian Baez | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Adam Walton | 42c | 594$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.44 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…838dbacked Sebastian Baez | 56c | 587$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Adam Walton | 43c | 586.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.93 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Sebastian Baez | 33c | 586$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Sebastian Baez | 36c | 570$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.73 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sebastian Baez | 53c | 558.84$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.19 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Sebastian Baez | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sebastian Baez | 26c | 515.73$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Adam Walton | 45c | 500.01$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.01 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Sebastian Baez | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Sebastian Baez | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sebastian Baez | 54c | 482.6$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.61 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…bddfbacked Adam Walton | 44c | 457$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Sebastian Baez | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Adam Walton | 43c | 416$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.72 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Sebastian Baez | 48c | 413.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Adam Walton | 67c | 411.08$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.23 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Adam Walton | 43c | 408.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.6 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…2da8backed Adam Walton | 44c | 405$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…0efbbacked Sebastian Baez | 56c | 397.47$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Adam Walton | 43c | 358.53$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Sebastian Baez | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Adam Walton | 78c | 350$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8d9cbacked Adam Walton | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Sebastian Baez | 57c | 292$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed Adam Walton | 45c | 282.22$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Sebastian Baez | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Adam Walton | 41c | 250$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Sebastian Baez | 54c | 238.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9740…1e26backed Sebastian Baez | 56c | 225$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Adam Walton | 45c | 222.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…a3b4backed Adam Walton | 44c | 218$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Sebastian Baez | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Sebastian Baez | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Adam Walton | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Sebastian Baez | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Adam Walton | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Sebastian Baez | 35c | 198.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.37 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Adam Walton | 44c | 193.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.59 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Sebastian Baez | 55c | 192$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Adam Walton | 42c | 188.54$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…20bbbacked Sebastian Baez | 32c | 183.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Sebastian Baez | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Sebastian Baez | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc41…7756backed Sebastian Baez | 56c | 179$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Sebastian Baez | 56c | 177.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Sebastian Baez | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c3…e992backed Sebastian Baez | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Adam Walton | 43c | 174.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7123…59b9backed Sebastian Baez | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Sebastian Baez | 59c | 170.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Adam Walton | 43c | 160.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Sebastian Baez | 55c | 159.13$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Adam Walton vs Sebastian Baezthis page
- Walton vs. Baez: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.