South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x960d6f5038d0710c0d5a8bd0e9f1c7b6500652f81aacd18b492b420fae783f6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,375 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 51c | 135,721$68,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,750.53 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over | 49c | 31,533$15,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,450.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 49c | 13,898$6,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,810 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 11,574$7,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,088.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 53c | 7,777$4,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.79 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 49c | 6,157$3,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 49c | 5,593$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.67 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Over | 48c | 4,123$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 49c | 3,200$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 2,717$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.22 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 2,393$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.07 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 50c | 1,715$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Over | 49c | 1,410$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 50c | 1,281$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 22c | 1,033$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.92 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 56c | 993.14$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.29 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 49c | 889.8$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…c334backed Over | 49c | 889.34$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 49c | 785.54$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Over | 49c | 780$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Over | 50c | 755.34$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 38c | 700$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…922bbacked Over | 49c | 670.79$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 49c | 571.43$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 540.91$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 461$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.89 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 9c | 437.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 49c | 434.83$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.69 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 47c | 418.24$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.29 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 64c | 412.75$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 407.9$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 50c | 394.37$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 49c | 346$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.54 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 24c | 312.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 47c | 308$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Under | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…ad1cbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…5e13backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 50c | 195$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 49c | 189.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 53c | 189.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Over | 54c | 185.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Over | 50c | 181.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 179.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 50c | 175$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 50c | 175$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 49c | 174.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 58c | 169.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…4f91backed Under | 52c | 153.42$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Over | 50c | 150.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 49c | 148.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Over | 45c | 135$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 58c | 130.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 54c | 125.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 49c | 123$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 24c | 114$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 47c | 111.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 33c | 102.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5this page
- EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)EC Bahia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.