TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,375 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Under51c135,721$68,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,750.5329446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over49c31,533$15,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,450.983151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over49c13,898$6,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,81017049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c11,574$7,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,088.878,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over53c7,777$4,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,121.7931349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Over49c6,157$3,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,01740%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005850%29 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over49c5,593$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.674845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Over48c4,123$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.871643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9603360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7505259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over49c3,200$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55439853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c2,717$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.223,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2503652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c2,393$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.072,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over49c2,245$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1006546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over50c1,715$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.56055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72011459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Over48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7202245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Over49c1,410$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.86616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over50c1,281$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.291533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over58c1,034$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005952.5%31 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under22c1,033$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.9215424%37 W · 117 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over56c993.14$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.292657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Over49c889.8$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4367143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf88f…c334backed Over49c889.34$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Over49c785.54$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.241258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Over49c780$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.22766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Over50c755.34$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3434953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under38c700$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4324776.6%36 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x562e…922bbacked Over49c670.79$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.411936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over49c571.43$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c540.91$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.75,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over49c461$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.8918742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over9c437.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6628.1%5 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over49c434.83$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.6945253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Under47c418.24$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.292755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over64c412.75$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c407.9$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.851,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19621849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1681936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over50c394.37$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.428231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6231745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over49c346$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.542263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012645.2%57 W · 69 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc51a…7ad9backed Over63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over24c312.02$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.531,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over47c308$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.717542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Under52c211.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.54850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x758e…ad1cbacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7cb…5e13backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under50c195$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8621752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over49c189.9$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.381,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over53c189.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013335.3%47 W · 86 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Over54c185.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Over50c181.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.13253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over50c179.32$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.767554.7%41 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over50c175$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.55160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over50c175$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.57856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over49c174.53$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.316842.6%29 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over58c169.37$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5735758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8393…4f91backed Under52c153.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.882236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Over50c150.52$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757450%37 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under49c148.9$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2347756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Over45c135$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.293138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under58c130.22$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8637355.2%206 W · 167 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008451.2%43 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over54c125.06$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5145746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.54654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.517960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.56962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over49c123$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.572,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607745.5%35 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6013557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Over24c114$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.364231%13 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over47c111.31$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3255155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under33c102.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9127053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.