South American Leagues · resolved market
EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xece1fbc711bb0a92913292b7ef6eb05e9c34925ca1e51f9377e3e9b66b39e054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,192 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 51c | 5,815$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.37 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 49c | 5,392$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.69 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 1,344$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 51c | 1,330$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.87 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,094$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.27 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 37c | 738.15$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.27 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed No | 51c | 643.23$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 49c | 194.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 35c | 143.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Yes | 54c | 124.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 19c | 94.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 73.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 68.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 68c | 59.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…668bbacked Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed No | 47c | 55.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked No | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…e0f5backed Yes | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 53c | 53.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 55c | 51.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed No | 50c | 50.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 51c | 49.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Yes | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Yes | 50c | 38.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…205ebacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Yes | 52c | 29.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 48c | 27.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c02…44e5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 74c | 16.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5Over won
- EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Under won
- EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5)EC Bahia won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)EC Bahia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.