Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c6e3554da01b07afc051153d226fa0a2afcd5629f98f94ade057d33d31cc2ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,341 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 52c | 5,654$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.85 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Over | 47c | 4,150$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 3,329$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.8 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…1ffebacked Under | 53c | 2,210$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 2,193$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd997…53f2backed Under | 53c | 1,946$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 1,868$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 52c | 1,651$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.48 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 1,079$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 1,059$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.35 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 54c | 464.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.85 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 52c | 321.4$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.27 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 265.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…5e13backed Over | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4007…3b97backed Over | 50c | 162.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…99cabacked Under | 50c | 158$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad1…7c3dbacked Over | 50c | 155.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…041bbacked Under | 50c | 154$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…b622backed Over | 50c | 145.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…fe98backed Over | 50c | 142.34$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0a…5fe3backed Under | 50c | 141$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 57c | 140.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 38c | 138.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3be1…d5a6backed Under | 50c | 137$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…11c6backed Under | 50c | 137$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a9…81ddbacked Under | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ef…2606backed Under | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c4…7337backed Over | 50c | 132.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…d938backed Over | 50c | 131.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…8baabacked Over | 50c | 127.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…5a21backed Under | 50c | 123$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9d…d899backed Over | 50c | 122.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 43c | 98.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 48c | 97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 48c | 96.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 46c | 88.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Under | 52c | 76.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 49.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 42c | 45.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 25c | 41.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 63c | 38.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 49c | 28.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…a03cbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 63c | 24.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.