Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46c01d9c738287ec1bace3ce45c6670aa70a32359b1a81889635166505f2b994
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,183 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,811$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 62c | 807.61$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.72 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 669.4$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 64c | 622.11$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.56 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 33c | 532$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.56 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 68c | 234.81$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddbe…dfaabacked Over | 67c | 103.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 77c | 32.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 74c | 27.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 26.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…a03cbacked Over | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb20…16a1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Over | 73c | 16.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 1.5this page
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Eyüpspor: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.