Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02ec657965262158c77881ea43715ddce265d9b40c37a1ae8d2be4ad9e40960a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 72c | 6,167$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.85 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked Yes | 32c | 4,375$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651f…c190backed Yes | 35c | 4,300$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 28c | 4,207$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.59 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 69c | 3,531$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.65 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No | 71c | 3,380$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.28 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 66c | 3,200$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 33c | 3,008$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…5bb9backed Yes | 31c | 2,805$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…541dbacked Yes | 31c | 2,359$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked No | 65c | 1,500$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 72c | 1,322$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.6 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…0845backed Yes | 35c | 1,292$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 31c | 1,287$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 69c | 1,244$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.64 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0eb…7a88backed Yes | 35c | 1,113$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2eb…f1b0backed Yes | 31c | 999.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes | 32c | 803.13$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…7970backed Yes | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…5529backed No | 69c | 693.99$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 61c | 692.48$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6092…67f8backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…3128backed No | 69c | 636$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes | 32c | 634.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 24c | 618.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 32c | 607.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.38 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 67c | 581.03$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.74 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 20c | 569.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…3a21backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 66c | 494.88$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.72 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 65c | 459.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd706…6540backed Yes | 32c | 437.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 30c | 424.82$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb16a…5a8bbacked Yes | 32c | 345.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…5e13backed No | 68c | 320$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed No | 69c | 305.92$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 66c | 299.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…45d5backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked No | 68c | 280$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 31c | 259.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed No | 70c | 253.91$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed No | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 34c | 245.53$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…53b1backed Yes | 35c | 242.86$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…70f1backed Yes | 6c | 223$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Yes | 31c | 218.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…57edbacked Yes | 32c | 210.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…5bb4backed Yes | 27c | 209.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…a9ddbacked Yes | 15c | 201.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…c338backed Yes | 32c | 200.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…9f23backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…801cbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…0420backed Yes | 35c | 167.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…8ae8backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf078…889abacked Yes | 35c | 144.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 138.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 65c | 135.67$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…e49cbacked Yes | 33c | 122.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…eac7backed Yes | 32c | 121.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 32c | 117.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 70c | 117.03$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed No | 71c | 113.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 67c | 110.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…148cbacked Yes | 32c | 109$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc7…aa23backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked No | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 32c | 92.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…8deebacked Yes | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0245…0c88backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1de…5f4ebacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…3049backed Yes | 38c | 85.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…7fcbbacked Yes | 32c | 81.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8d…8e7ebacked Yes | 32c | 80.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…9cf7backed Yes | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…7febbacked Yes | 36c | 72.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…395abacked No | 69c | 63.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…3e62backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0388…7d66backed Yes | 33c | 61.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…8932backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1958…a85cbacked Yes | 34c | 58.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ad…d823backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…7936backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c637backed No | 68c | 57.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53b0…862cbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 31c | 54.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 66c | 54.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-10?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-10?No won
- Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.