Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b5898d1c55fac1d6f6e16cb64cbfa57c8b98079a74a88b70ce927cb26cbe0b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 42c | 11,933$5,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,067.94 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 58c | 6,500$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.98 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 58c | 4,469$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.77 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 67c | 4,262$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.48 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…fe6cbacked No | 71c | 4,234$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 80c | 3,984$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.4 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…c83fbacked Yes | 38c | 3,406$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed No | 58c | 2,480$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.77 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Yes | 41c | 2,478$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.67 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 51c | 2,046$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.11 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…080fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 66c | 1,766$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.72 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…3128backed Yes | 41c | 1,600$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 57c | 1,592$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.39 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Yes | 33c | 1,537$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.21 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 43c | 1,518$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.7 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 61c | 1,500$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.97 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…83bebacked Yes | 40c | 1,482$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 29c | 1,434$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.94 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…faedbacked No | 59c | 1,420$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8af…f391backed Yes | 41c | 1,320$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc28…08b9backed Yes | 41c | 1,266$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…eeb5backed Yes | 42c | 1,240$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 56c | 1,186$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.74 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed No | 61c | 1,126$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.65 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d31…cf9ebacked No | 59c | 1,076$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 59c | 1,073$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.23 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf765…b121backed Yes | 41c | 1,067$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 41c | 1,050$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.45 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…c7c9backed Yes | 42c | 926.38$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b4…442dbacked Yes | 33c | 924.33$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…aa70backed No | 60c | 916.33$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 41c | 887$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.13 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…862bbacked No | 59c | 875.98$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 36c | 870.27$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.32 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde00…6879backed Yes | 51c | 787.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec9…c172backed Yes | 45c | 785.96$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 40c | 752.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…2a58backed Yes | 40c | 710$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked Yes | 38c | 560.17$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…99afbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…2196backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…38e7backed Yes | 43c | 477.57$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 41c | 459.28$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.3 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 58c | 440.72$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Yes | 27c | 435.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.91 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2629…417cbacked No | 60c | 399.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…3527backed Yes | 38c | 392.02$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Yes | 42c | 369.51$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…2b62backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…7a75backed No | 57c | 356.66$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed Yes | 54c | 349$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.46 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…79ebbacked Yes | 43c | 348$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 36c | 330.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 5c | 326.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f9…2d70backed Yes | 39c | 322.03$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 46c | 308.77$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.05 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…2c09backed Yes | 43c | 304.67$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…6933backed Yes | 38c | 262.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…f693backed Yes | 41c | 262.2$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 60c | 234$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2424…a3ecbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b1…9eadbacked Yes | 38c | 224.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377e…d43ebacked Yes | 63c | 222.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 62c | 222$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3339…53b1backed Yes | 38c | 211.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 57c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…cc80backed Yes | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0e…9a38backed Yes | 40c | 176.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 42c | 162.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…7a99backed Yes | 40c | 158.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 62c | 153.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes | 37c | 149.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 59c | 146.48$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.54 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 41c | 145.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 61c | 143.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…6bddbacked Yes | 36c | 138.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…b78ebacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…2835backed Yes | 37c | 120.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…e800backed Yes | 38c | 119.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45fe…edecbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc7…aa23backed Yes | 41c | 107.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…75aabacked No | 68c | 107.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe591…d8a5backed Yes | 32c | 107.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0eb…7a88backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…f42fbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed No | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…b608backed Yes | 41c | 87.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…84d9backed No | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…7949backed No | 58c | 76.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…696bbacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-10?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.