Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x251bb80439f0287a95ff73804e6970e07615ddef938f79ee38baa646ab3ec1f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 45c | 4,630$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 31c | 3,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,221.88 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 71c | 3,174$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.67 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 30c | 2,842$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.93 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 35c | 2,153$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.7 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 49c | 2,107$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 61c | 1,956$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.73 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…da94backed Yes | 28c | 1,951$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +253.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 43c | 1,513$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.97 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…673abacked No | 71c | 1,370$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c5…a686backed No | 72c | 1,242$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…b8babacked Yes | 29c | 913.34$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked No | 6c | 829.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e0…45efbacked Yes | 30c | 805.1$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 45c | 755.75$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.37 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 29c | 685.17$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.47 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 31c | 677.42$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.42 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…080fbacked Yes | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72b…0023backed Yes | 62c | 622.48$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…35cabacked Yes | 28c | 560.44$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 29c | 517$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.3 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 41c | 444$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.04 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c5…d5a0backed Yes | 60c | 400.62$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 70c | 399.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 28c | 346.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.54 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 30c | 330.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.04 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdff…3e7fbacked Yes | 40c | 326.04$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a9…caccbacked Yes | 62c | 324.12$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac55…61f7backed No | 64c | 309.81$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…09a4backed No | 71c | 300$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…70f1backed Yes | 36c | 272.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6176…9179backed No | 60c | 255.18$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 62c | 250$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 76c | 244.73$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 70c | 222$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 70c | 220.5$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…1d7abacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 71c | 175.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c3…ebc7backed No | 72c | 166.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecf8…f5cdbacked No | 72c | 153.82$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c2…8987backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 73c | 136.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 34c | 129.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…54bbbacked No | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 27c | 111.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 28c | 111.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 30c | 107.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 59c | 105$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…9363backed No | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…e864backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed No | 40c | 96.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057f…e694backed No | 72c | 81.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccc…c9a7backed Yes | 47c | 80.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…a363backed No | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1964…1a7dbacked No | 73c | 74.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…84d9backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b4…d46bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…39f1backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 71c | 64.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4347…3acbbacked Yes | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 70c | 51.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…af0dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…09a9backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5342…0f95backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…6933backed Yes | 73c | 49.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac57…8821backed Yes | 33c | 45.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb8…3667backed Yes | 28c | 45.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…5468backed No | 58c | 44.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1391…168ebacked Yes | 33c | 40.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…87e4backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…118ebacked Yes | 33c | 39.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…c1d4backed Yes | 31c | 39.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…bfb2backed Yes | 33c | 37.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89d…d6b7backed No | 72c | 36.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked No | 71c | 35.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Yes | 29c | 34.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…cefdbacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad5…02febacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…2aacbacked Yes | 67c | 29.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…40b6backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-10?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.