TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6324…7feb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.92
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.11
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.72
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$9.43
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+65.9%+$13.28
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.93
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.26
Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$26
Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+177.8%+$23.11
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.67
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$33.38
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$25.49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.59
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$20.45
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$22.64
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$17.34
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$10.69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$12.66
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.64
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-51.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.39
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.39
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+122.2%+$19.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.01
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2024, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST+66.7%+$8.01
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+92.3%+$11.05
Kings vs. Spursbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST+88.7%+$18.06
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+61.3%+$8.24
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+132.6%+$18.56
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+44.2%+$4.86
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+61.3%+$7.97
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.49
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.21
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$9.83
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+38.9%+$8.29
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.32
Will Slovenia win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+135.6%+$17.63
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.57
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati vs. Utahbacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Wake Forest vs. Florida Statebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+312%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+312%+$74.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.