TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

Cincinnati vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Cincinnati, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$355,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$371,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Cincinnati19c190,556$36,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,058.8668440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Utah80c50,995$40,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,296.0585947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Utah77c26,474$20,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,004.0111653.4%62 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Utah80c13,277$10,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.5717443.7%76 W · 98 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Cincinnati12c12,861$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.776030%18 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Cincinnati24c7,254$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.8334250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb672…e4e3backed Cincinnati10c5,549$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d6…aa44backed Cincinnati11c5,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9312718.9%24 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Utah78c4,462$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.878851.1%45 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Utah74c4,000$2,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.5762843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Utah77c3,666$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.8613450.7%68 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Utah77c3,480$2,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.3917655.1%97 W · 79 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Cincinnati21c3,410$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.1119120.9%40 W · 151 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Utah77c3,259$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.62,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Cincinnati0c3,204$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.32694.3%3 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Utah78c3,013$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.5129351.9%152 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Cincinnati15c2,867$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.059635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95dd…90ecbacked Cincinnati8c2,797$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd3…d057backed Cincinnati9c2,709$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.194022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Cincinnati22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+41.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Cincinnati25c2,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4e08…5613backed Cincinnati1c1,960$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Utah77c1,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.2475651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Utah73c1,424$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.4749443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Cincinnati23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005414.8%8 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Utah76c1,300$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.8893548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Utah75c1,220$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.650358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239a…76e5backed Cincinnati13c1,117$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505545.5%25 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce91…9c9fbacked Cincinnati23c1,087$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f83…675fbacked Cincinnati24c1,072$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.19933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Utah77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-78.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Cincinnati22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Cincinnati24c1,000$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.556731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc631…9655backed Cincinnati5c977.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.89825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Utah78c890$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.881847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cincinnati14c876$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8157144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Utah77c866.3$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.2515352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Utah76c830.89$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5410555.2%58 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Utah79c760.71$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.716262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Utah77c700$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16121348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf37a…50f2backed Cincinnati7c620$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.541010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-84.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cf8…a08abacked Cincinnati21c600$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9496…7454backed Utah78c599.99$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Cincinnati24c500.03$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.475339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Cincinnati4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53423.5%8 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick14cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Cincinnati24c500$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12242244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Cincinnati23c479$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1720757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cincinnati21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Utah78c455.13$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.132540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4e…05e0backed Cincinnati23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe4…e964backed Cincinnati23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Cincinnati22c301.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8517634.7%61 W · 115 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Cincinnati11c300$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.813432.8%44 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Cincinnati22c275.05$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5125629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3c…7346backed Cincinnati14c245$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.65922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Cincinnati22c241.72$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.781,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f6…b90cbacked Cincinnati26c222$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.723036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x700c…9368backed Cincinnati23c213.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x521f…6143backed Cincinnati12c211.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Cincinnati24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Cincinnati21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4228032.9%92 W · 188 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe51…c0d3backed Cincinnati23c195.65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Cincinnati23c152.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356232.3%20 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb2…789abacked Cincinnati23c152.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Utah77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.513149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Cincinnati24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb52d…95ffbacked Utah76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.583961.5%24 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Utah77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.913253.8%71 W · 61 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked Utah77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8718868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe611…0ae4backed Cincinnati21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254637%17 W · 29 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde0b…b4a7backed Cincinnati23c110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.25639.3%22 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+0.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3ab…482ebacked Cincinnati39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58bc…a883backed Cincinnati22c100.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.045036%18 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa43c…e0a1backed Cincinnati21c93.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+94.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Cincinnati22c91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0224436.9%90 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Cincinnati22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd425…7518backed Cincinnati23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-62.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6324…7febbacked Cincinnati23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Utah77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.945641.1%23 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x787c…7ae2backed Cincinnati24c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Cincinnati23c56.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133948.7%19 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x57e5…38b2backed Cincinnati22c54.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Cincinnati22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118942.7%38 W · 51 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa83…537bbacked Cincinnati24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124555.6%25 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Utah75c46.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5515745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Utah76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.64042.5%17 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Utah76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.64052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa464…9178backed Utah76c33.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9566…130dbacked Utah76c32.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Utah77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.83231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3518…6454backed Utah78c28.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick77cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad7e…e189backed Utah78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641258.3%7 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick76cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5dd4…d37abacked Utah79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3be…b9dcbacked Utah74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc394…121bbacked Utah79c15.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.19450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.