TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Nets, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,712 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fa3…dc66backed Nets37c8,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0806943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Nets50c7,467$3,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.730443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pelicans52c6,831$3,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,584.9370147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pelicans65c6,247$4,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,091.6647656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans53c4,809$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.5765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd398…c487backed Nets53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed Pelicans46c3,258$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.642564%16 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+51.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Nets36c2,740$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.246533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Pelicans46c2,603$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.378046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Pelicans47c2,494$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.0921649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Nets51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4027…1afbbacked Pelicans49c1,784$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb0d…d6f9backed Pelicans49c1,422$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans48c1,404$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.691,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…8ff3backed Nets52c1,245$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef8…dce7backed Pelicans47c1,245$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.071250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+75.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…f0e7backed Nets54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.111241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Pelicans48c1,106$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fde…ed39backed Pelicans48c1,041$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ec…66f9backed Nets52c1,039$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.511650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Pelicans48c999.99$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cf…004dbacked Nets52c992.28$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.296947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Nets67c917.15$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.2818437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Pelicans47c899.88$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.9512247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01f7…02dfbacked Pelicans6c868.09$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.09837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Nets54c777.45$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.6312752%66 W · 61 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f5…0009backed Nets53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.723056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans43c728.67$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.471,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Pelicans27c702.39$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.524637%17 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Nets56c695.22$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9326547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d5…124bbacked Nets52c602.66$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.921154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+103.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbaf2…b7bcbacked Pelicans69c591.77$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.322532%8 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Pelicans46c418.86$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9911459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Pelicans49c409.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x603a…fc8bbacked Nets54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1844652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Nets25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8326…da54backed Nets50c397.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.971346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x433e…3f60backed Nets53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.361250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nets45c370.93$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Nets51c366.06$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5465218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Nets53c360.4$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3910546.7%49 W · 56 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans59c349.41$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.281,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd25…f900backed Nets53c311.32$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Nets54c309.48$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3611428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd24b…0672backed Pelicans50c308.62$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ed…dc9ebacked Nets53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.021154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Nets57c263.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.596851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Pelicans47c250$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nets51c250$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.51,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6708…90a3backed Nets78c231.84$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.871942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Pelicans26c226.52$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d01…102ebacked Pelicans47c223.34$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-50.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94d8…d785backed Nets54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.221258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c6d…81c2backed Nets43c211.65$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.143342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Nets54c210.86$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.610462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…f625backed Nets54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928232.9%27 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc29f…2f53backed Nets53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa357…d47cbacked Nets77c198.27$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.24839.6%19 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…00c2backed Nets25c196.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.153237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…72e6backed Nets51c195.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Nets28c189$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7119137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb710…99f7backed Pelicans27c186.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Nets51c186.17$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2210243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18ac…15f9backed Nets49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2711662.1%72 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1eb…76febacked Nets49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2711963.9%76 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0319…ee14backed Nets50c160.16$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1611763.2%74 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Pelicans46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6917846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b61…be28backed Nets49c137.6$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.612065%78 W · 42 L+0.5wins0.00per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Nets54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6324462.3%152 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Nets38c129.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9914542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Pelicans65c127.66$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9836057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pelicans67c126.12$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8526934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Pelicans48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6028063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2b…aa1fbacked Nets57c122.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8112065%78 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e3a…f76dbacked Nets49c118.37$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3711863.6%75 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f0…4795backed Nets55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0912163.6%77 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x69eb…1d77backed Nets55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0912064.2%77 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa51b…7c06backed Nets50c106$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5311863.6%75 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Nets55c105.04$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7714233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa539…8eabbacked Nets41c104$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.831520%3 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-55.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x118f…9088backed Nets59c102.06$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0612165.3%79 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd64a…2fa2backed Nets48c100.74$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.415640.4%63 W · 93 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98a4…eeaabacked Nets53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4711636.2%42 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Pelicans46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4613341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Nets28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc52c…04f6backed Nets53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Nets53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4727642%116 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Nets53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479045.6%41 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cb9…a1fabacked Pelicans48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4184…1513backed Nets51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0411864.4%76 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa416…84d9backed Pelicans59c90$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.15064%32 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc884…13d3backed Nets35c86.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x355b…30adbacked Nets51c82.45$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.43043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…dd8ebacked Nets54c81.46$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.472445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Pelicans53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.477437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea4…9a66backed Nets54c78.8$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae6f…7399backed Nets53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.474753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Nets53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4788335.3%312 W · 571 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.472341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.