NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35903c81b3bff791fe900211bf9cc89790bc17da0f99960a940b63e85e9ff9f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Heat, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,200 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,620 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Pistons | 46c | 23,934$11,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,814.84 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Heat | 53c | 18,991$10,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,090.84 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e9…af79backed Heat | 54c | 17,857$9,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,642.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Pistons | 46c | 15,164$6,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,188.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Pistons | 77c | 14,557$11,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.79 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…9440backed Heat | 38c | 14,520$5,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,502.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6321…aeb6backed Heat | 42c | 12,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Pistons | 46c | 10,828$4,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,847.38 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 3c | 8,250$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.52 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Heat | 51c | 7,870$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.59 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Heat | 56c | 6,116$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.44 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pistons | 59c | 5,721$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.54 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pistons | 46c | 4,316$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.79 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Heat | 5c | 4,045$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.97 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0770…13efbacked Heat | 53c | 3,995$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb0…4914backed Pistons | 47c | 3,995$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…7294backed Pistons | 46c | 3,856$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,082.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…da94backed Heat | 52c | 3,856$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913a…4689backed Heat | 53c | 3,711$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Pistons | 52c | 3,695$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.01 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Pistons | 47c | 3,390$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.82 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Pistons | 47c | 2,791$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.36 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Heat | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Heat | 53c | 2,600$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.96 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Pistons | 60c | 2,523$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.8 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Heat | 46c | 2,421$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.03 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Heat | 46c | 2,160$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Pistons | 47c | 2,094$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.77 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0768…dfedbacked Pistons | 47c | 2,009$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked Heat | 53c | 1,979$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed Pistons | 48c | 1,979$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.63 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Pistons | 75c | 1,966$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.57 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…8d38backed Heat | 53c | 1,871$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed Heat | 56c | 1,794$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ed…ce43backed Pistons | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Pistons | 59c | 1,480$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.71 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pistons | 64c | 1,445$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Pistons | 58c | 1,435$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.75 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat | 50c | 1,383$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.6 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Heat | 7c | 1,339$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…e09dbacked Heat | 4c | 1,167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…0a27backed Heat | 53c | 1,088$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…e299backed Pistons | 48c | 1,087$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.02 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…2353backed Heat | 52c | 1,064$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9f…2faabacked Pistons | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Heat | 3c | 1,060$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Heat | 33c | 1,053$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.7 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Heat | 55c | 1,015$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.39 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…5d7bbacked Heat | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…8b83backed Pistons | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…66f9backed Pistons | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Pistons | 45c | 978.49$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.17 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons | 47c | 970.55$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.39 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Heat | 52c | 949.99$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.99 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heat | 43c | 933.54$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.83 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Pistons | 46c | 845.76$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.71 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Pistons | 62c | 831.93$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.13 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…7b99backed Pistons | 69c | 808.55$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Pistons | 55c | 800$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.65 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Pistons | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Heat | 49c | 768.85$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed6…e8aabacked Pistons | 47c | 765.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…adddbacked Heat | 52c | 729.96$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Pistons | 56c | 724.5$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.91 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f4f4backed Pistons | 48c | 686.27$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4de…a998backed Heat | 54c | 686.26$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…1888backed Heat | 53c | 658.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Heat | 54c | 628.31$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b74…a4f4backed Pistons | 48c | 620.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.86 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Heat | 53c | 611.32$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Pistons | 47c | 599.97$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pistons | 48c | 565.67$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.15 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed Pistons | 46c | 552$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Pistons | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Heat | 53c | 485.57$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.3 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Pistons | 46c | 463.11$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.06 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…6176backed Pistons | 60c | 455.28$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.31 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…2e3cbacked Heat | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433e…3f60backed Pistons | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 54c | 399.97$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.98 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Pistons | 26c | 390.35$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.86 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8186…e3d2backed Heat | 28c | 384.1$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…7ad5backed Pistons | 52c | 380.25$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4622…8a18backed Heat | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Heat | 35c | 358.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Pistons | 45c | 350$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…175ebacked Pistons | 78c | 314.56$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…004dbacked Pistons | 47c | 313.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Heat | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Heat | 52c | 299.94$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700d…fa25backed Heat | 54c | 294.11$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25fd…04f2backed Pistons | 48c | 294.1$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5859…f6afbacked Heat | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Heat | 54c | 277.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…49e3backed Heat | 34c | 266.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a97…fe4fbacked Pistons | 48c | 264.58$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e05…6446backed Pistons | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Pistons | 59c | 252.82$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.82 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.