NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf853d17eb2b597eec146ad5d884084e774d09e172ecb39b5a17e7721ea751b35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee5f…9a8bbacked Hawks | 65c | 34,896$22,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,680.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bulls | 41c | 24,660$10,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,515.65 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Hawks | 59c | 16,362$9,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,650.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bulls | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bulls | 42c | 8,206$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.48 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bulls | 35c | 7,164$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,683.56 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Hawks | 77c | 5,003$3,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,852.14 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…7819backed Hawks | 57c | 4,911$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Bulls | 42c | 4,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.49 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls | 22c | 4,611$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,573.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Bulls | 32c | 4,130$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.77 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3d…1ea4backed Bulls | 43c | 4,084$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.88 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…cac8backed Bulls | 28c | 4,028$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.09 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…a5bfbacked Bulls | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Bulls | 56c | 3,451$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Hawks | 45c | 3,386$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.44 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…ccb1backed Bulls | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Hawks | 67c | 3,063$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.22 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Hawks | 66c | 2,832$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.46 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bulls | 42c | 2,288$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.23 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b4…e0febacked Bulls | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.97 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…78c4backed Bulls | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bulls | 3c | 1,978$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.47 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Hawks | 58c | 1,888$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Bulls | 46c | 1,859$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.7 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Hawks | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.04 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Hawks | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bulls | 32c | 1,544$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.18 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Bulls | 44c | 1,514$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.61 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…a363backed Hawks | 28c | 1,352$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Bulls | 34c | 1,250$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.5 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bulls | 42c | 1,241$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.91 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…9440backed Bulls | 56c | 1,229$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…ae8bbacked Hawks | 6c | 1,076$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367c…f5f5backed Hawks | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…ef54backed Bulls | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bulls | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Hawks | 80c | 999.99$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Hawks | 59c | 966.04$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.96 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…b1ecbacked Hawks | 58c | 917.24$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Hawks | 33c | 900$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Bulls | 23c | 862.58$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.41 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Bulls | 14c | 857.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.75 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8186…e3d2backed Hawks | 60c | 854.88$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.23 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls | 42c | 841.95$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.4 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Hawks | 58c | 759$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.22 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…bdb6backed Bulls | 43c | 750.5$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Bulls | 43c | 674.36$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed Bulls | 37c | 668.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Bulls | 18c | 638.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.46 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Bulls | 20c | 615.54$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.75 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Hawks | 80c | 600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…40b6backed Hawks | 57c | 581.09$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Bulls | 42c | 580.97$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…2e3cbacked Bulls | 39c | 546.05$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.09 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Hawks | 67c | 544.37$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.05 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Hawks | 53c | 474.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Hawks | 77c | 449.96$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.47 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Bulls | 45c | 389.62$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.41 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks | 57c | 376.43$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.42 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…0009backed Bulls | 42c | 339.67$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Bulls | 30c | 329.74$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.74 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…a478backed Hawks | 61c | 325.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Hawks | 61c | 317.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.23 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…a900backed Bulls | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Hawks | 57c | 282.92$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Bulls | 42c | 273.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.81 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…ac22backed Hawks | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Bulls | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bulls | 40c | 247.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…6f4fbacked Bulls | 23c | 216.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.69 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…9bbdbacked Bulls | 19c | 211.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.9 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…80bebacked Hawks | 58c | 201.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7722…ee4bbacked Bulls | 43c | 200.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.44 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Bulls | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0d…0d5abacked Hawks | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Bulls | 20c | 191.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.67 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Bulls | 44c | 191.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Hawks | 58c | 182.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde96…5290backed Bulls | 57c | 181.52$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Hawks | 72c | 179.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…00c2backed Bulls | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed Hawks | 57c | 176$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd10…0d30backed Hawks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Bulls | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Hawks | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Hawks | 56c | 168.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.55 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Bulls | 14c | 163.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.79 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e7…c642backed Bulls | 42c | 161.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Bulls | 47c | 157.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…b7bcbacked Bulls | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…bf89backed Hawks | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Hawks | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 59.7%139 W · 94 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…e49cbacked Bulls | 24c | 141.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…5ac8backed Hawks | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Bulls | 19c | 124.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Bulls | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c48…6597backed Bulls | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Hawks | 42c | 116.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.