NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10a9c66ac76daf90a77db0e02d53f2b8a6b6b9aec1dc560309e6237a1e73b809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks | 47c | 30,125$14,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,166.51 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073d…65f2backed Bucks | 36c | 12,260$4,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Bucks | 51c | 8,238$4,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.47 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…b0ecbacked Celtics | 63c | 7,500$4,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Celtics | 64c | 7,202$4,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.82 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Celtics | 39c | 5,499$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.28 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Celtics | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Bucks | 37c | 3,833$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.19 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bucks | 66c | 3,532$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.5 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bucks | 41c | 3,082$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.33 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 50c | 3,000$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Celtics | 40c | 3,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Bucks | 50c | 2,973$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.06 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…9440backed Celtics | 41c | 2,523$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…331ebacked Celtics | 43c | 2,475$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Bucks | 50c | 2,297$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 40c | 2,209$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.23 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…3a21backed Celtics | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Bucks | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Bucks | 39c | 1,997$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.66 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bucks | 36c | 1,773$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.23 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5035…da9abacked Bucks | 37c | 1,529$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Bucks | 58c | 1,317$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.45 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bucks | 5c | 1,232$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Bucks | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.99 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bucks | 34c | 1,087$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.31 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Bucks | 47c | 1,084$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.35 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Bucks | 26c | 1,054$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…0544backed Bucks | 43c | 1,052$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.62 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Celtics | 61c | 1,046$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.81 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Celtics | 65c | 1,033$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.55 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bucks | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Celtics | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.5 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Celtics | 62c | 1,000$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.28 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Celtics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Celtics | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Celtics | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dac…9a31backed Celtics | 65c | 979.35$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…022dbacked Bucks | 2c | 944.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…cb45backed Bucks | 37c | 837.84$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bucks | 34c | 826.36$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.25 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Celtics | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…2c09backed Celtics | 64c | 788.56$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b0…4940backed Celtics | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics | 63c | 697.82$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.61 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Bucks | 49c | 696.6$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.86 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…0cf9backed Celtics | 65c | 661.54$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.54 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…786dbacked Bucks | 36c | 642.8$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.24 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Celtics | 54c | 616.96$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.37 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Celtics | 41c | 613.54$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.54 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Bucks | 36c | 608.68$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.78 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…7d82backed Bucks | 28c | 600$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…696dbacked Bucks | 38c | 589.53$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8326…da54backed Celtics | 62c | 580.42$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…300bbacked Celtics | 64c | 568.06$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Bucks | 35c | 550$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…55cfbacked Celtics | 63c | 546.67$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.34 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19cb…7881backed Celtics | 63c | 539.68$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…e36bbacked Celtics | 61c | 539.36$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Bucks | 28c | 518.74$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…8457backed Celtics | 64c | 503.89$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Celtics | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | +14.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2eb…f1b0backed Celtics | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…72e6backed Bucks | 43c | 498$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…5529backed Bucks | 37c | 444.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…4666backed Bucks | 32c | 444.4$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…0009backed Celtics | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks | 48c | 422.86$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.97 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdc…90c8backed Celtics | 62c | 415.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Celtics | 49c | 405.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.24 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…adddbacked Bucks | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…d874backed Celtics | 44c | 387.26$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.23 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1e…cee2backed Celtics | 61c | 369.29$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.29 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…b11bbacked Bucks | 38c | 367.03$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb79e…ba2dbacked Bucks | 56c | 350.05$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Bucks | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8186…e3d2backed Bucks | 47c | 339.78$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.32 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Celtics | 53c | 338.6$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.83 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…aa04backed Bucks | 38c | 330.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7c…3228backed Celtics | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Bucks | 38c | 321.4$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.13 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…1986backed Celtics | 64c | 320.06$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…e49cbacked Celtics | 64c | 314.16$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Celtics | 51c | 308.23$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.44 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Celtics | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…836abacked Celtics | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Celtics | 56c | 300$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Celtics | 67c | 299.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Celtics | 59c | 294.25$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…79ebbacked Bucks | 36c | 278$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Celtics | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Bucks | 38c | 269.37$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Celtics | 40c | 258.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.2 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…edb6backed Celtics | 40c | 250.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Celtics | 59c | 250$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…148cbacked Celtics | 65c | 247.75$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…b2f4backed Bucks | 68c | 243.89$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc1…06edbacked Celtics | 65c | 237.7$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 883 | 35.3%312 W · 571 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Celtics | 65c | 228.13$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Bucks | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.