NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x280a74e8a3f2f0a97eeb3ed7be0f15ba44f85af9e44f88ff84d2bb86ce4e6ad8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves | 74c | 12,545$9,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,295.28 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heat | 74c | 4,984$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.17 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Heat | 31c | 3,288$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275.76 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Heat | 29c | 2,915$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.64 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 31c | 2,659$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.57 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 69c | 2,040$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.08 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Heat | 25c | 1,785$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.66 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073d…65f2backed Heat | 27c | 1,217$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Heat | 27c | 1,180$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.23 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Heat | 37c | 1,151$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.66 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Heat | 21c | 1,086$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.85 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 1,047$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Timberwolves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 50c | 868.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.73 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Timberwolves | 73c | 806.56$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.47 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Timberwolves | 63c | 760.55$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.72 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Heat | 66c | 760.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.09 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…f9edbacked Heat | 13c | 750$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.5 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…e36bbacked Timberwolves | 73c | 738.11$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Heat | 26c | 711.4$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.43 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked Heat | 28c | 699.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…2e3cbacked Heat | 29c | 690.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed Heat | 25c | 669.57$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe171…5748backed Timberwolves | 63c | 634.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Heat | 29c | 610.34$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.34 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Timberwolves | 65c | 576.92$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Timberwolves | 72c | 537.48$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.99 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…73b8backed Heat | 19c | 527.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.89 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Timberwolves | 74c | 523.97$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…2797backed Timberwolves | 68c | 505.39$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.67 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…5419backed Timberwolves | 66c | 451.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Heat | 28c | 446.43$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.43 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heat | 33c | 444.09$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.09 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…9440backed Heat | 35c | 439.56$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Timberwolves | 71c | 430.89$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +139.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…ecacbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 430.75$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Timberwolves | 71c | 428.59$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.3 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Heat | 49c | 405.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…a2d4backed Heat | 38c | 350$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Timberwolves | 73c | 309.59$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed Timberwolves | 59c | 302.14$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.64 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 72c | 300.13$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.49 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Timberwolves | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Timberwolves | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3808…3031backed Heat | 31c | 290.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2629…417cbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 269.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…ee60backed Timberwolves | 59c | 253.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Heat | 20c | 251.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.48 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Timberwolves | 76c | 237.54$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…70f1backed Heat | 57c | 222.19$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Timberwolves | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…035bbacked Heat | 34c | 200$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 33c | 189.28$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.52 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…1aeabacked Timberwolves | 74c | 183.07$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…edb6backed Timberwolves | 58c | 172.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…00c2backed Timberwolves | 59c | 170.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…cfbdbacked Heat | 36c | 170$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…aa04backed Heat | 27c | 161.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Timberwolves | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…f260backed Timberwolves | 74c | 138.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…ef54backed Timberwolves | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde96…5290backed Heat | 24c | 122.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…f625backed Heat | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Heat | 30c | 120$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…5f40backed Heat | 36c | 118.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Heat | 22c | 111$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Heat | 18c | 106$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Heat | 15c | 104.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…9bbdbacked Heat | 30c | 103.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf2…b7bcbacked Heat | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Heat | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…7d06backed Heat | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Heat | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4384…f52fbacked Heat | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…e061backed Timberwolves | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…83febacked Timberwolves | 73c | 98.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Timberwolves | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…fd01backed Heat | 33c | 95.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…2af9backed Timberwolves | 72c | 89.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Heat | 27c | 87.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…3817backed Heat | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35e…8868backed Heat | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Timberwolves | 71c | 82.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Heat | 17c | 75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f14…b199backed Heat | 54c | 74.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed Heat | 29c | 71.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…7b67backed Heat | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…84d9backed Timberwolves | 75c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…20bbbacked Heat | 21c | 68.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…efedbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 68.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac26…ff5dbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 64.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f1…dd6fbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…e49cbacked Heat | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…5e80backed Heat | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Timberwolves | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe677…6c15backed Timberwolves | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ef…dc31backed Timberwolves | 74c | 59.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Timberwolves | 72c | 56.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.