TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Knicks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Bucks, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,381

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Knicks74c12,851$9,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.2347656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Knicks68c6,495$4,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.8665642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked Bucks33c5,480$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.784045%18 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Bucks30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008937.1%33 W · 56 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7569…79ebbacked Bucks23c2,965$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.331723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Knicks70c2,560$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.7919642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks28c2,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Knicks68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48011459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Knicks69c1,169$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.2961532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Bucks27c1,081$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9546131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Knicks69c1,028$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.6936748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bucks32c981.21$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.991,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked Knicks71c895$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.753161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Knicks67c760.85$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Bucks33c760.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Bucks31c731.32$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.7127546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x698c…5f40backed Bucks7c700$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d86…537abacked Knicks68c699.96$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.991844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aac…fcb3backed Bucks29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3f…e242backed Knicks73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0870…e7bebacked Bucks31c649.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cb5…98f8backed Bucks31c558.75$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.21955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Bucks30c512$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.618316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5911backed Bucks29c509.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.082556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bucks30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Knicks69c499.94$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9812247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks36c465$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.437954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Bucks30c416.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Bucks20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8018437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x359f…eb89backed Knicks72c388.89$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.89560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Bucks27c374.97$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2416242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c6…9211backed Bucks28c360.79$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0214847.3%70 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa1…1928backed Bucks10c357.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3a0…25f6backed Bucks31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea7…f625backed Bucks32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968232.9%27 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x307c…7f08backed Bucks21c299.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-28.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Bucks21c272.05$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4515341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0397…9c15backed Bucks28c267.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd10…0d30backed Bucks20c255.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Bucks6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7722…ee4bbacked Knicks63c249.99$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.52334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed Bucks30c243.4$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0219151.8%99 W · 92 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffb8…8027backed Bucks31c224.52$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.61656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Bucks26c217.26$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5714542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c9a…f397backed Bucks32c210.81$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.46922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…6f4fbacked Bucks25c203.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Bucks25c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4958754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1513…dfcabacked Bucks33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…24c2backed Bucks29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed Bucks27c200$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310054%54 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Knicks70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf237…46edbacked Bucks7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a2…5374backed Bucks29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e6…4e2abacked Bucks10c165.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.317058.6%41 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Bucks9c164.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.513732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Bucks28c160.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9211428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc4…28b8backed Knicks73c150.68$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.68728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Knicks69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.519137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d82…ac22backed Knicks69c146.38$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.382755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Bucks28c137.72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5662351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Knicks67c136.36$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4520245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba19…0f73backed Knicks70c136$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.86350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff4e…7036backed Knicks75c134$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c69…b1debacked Bucks34c129.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+55.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5d4…d566backed Bucks33c126.73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8240%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb26e…3948backed Knicks73c112.39$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa980…bebdbacked Bucks32c109.38$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0026…cd66backed Bucks30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011428.1%32 W · 82 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53b0…862cbacked Bucks29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Bucks26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Bucks30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027642%116 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4384…f52fbacked Bucks29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294742.6%20 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa13d…47f5backed Bucks30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Knicks63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5342…0f95backed Bucks21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202540%10 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x703b…8510backed Bucks21c93.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Knicks76c91.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2214233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7cb…b857backed Knicks71c79.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.855556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Knicks71c78$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8270951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6127…e077backed Bucks29c77.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6d…6632backed Knicks74c74.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.576869.1%47 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df6…5d25backed Bucks29c72.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.11850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Knicks64c72.71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3124549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Knicks73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.498537.6%32 W · 53 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50d2…0d35backed Bucks31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b0d…077dbacked Knicks69c56.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.59850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4b2…3845backed Knicks69c55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Knicks72c54.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1914852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf65e…3850backed Bucks37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024336.2%88 W · 155 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1267…7c97backed Bucks29c52.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b26…8640backed Bucks26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132737%10 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Knicks76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x065f…ab50backed Bucks31c48.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks23c48.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.421,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa282…ef45backed Knicks73c47.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.951747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x532f…3ae9backed Bucks32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-81.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Bucks57c45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5553250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06b2…9c3cbacked Bucks30c42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.630%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x903b…4fb5backed Knicks73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa416…84d9backed Knicks74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.545064%32 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.