TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pelicans vs. Magic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof Pelicans, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,725
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,963

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,725 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Magic66c24,237$15,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,270.2947656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Pelicans32c22,000$7,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,039.973426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43e3…c7f2backed Pelicans36c16,708$6,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,084.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic70c11,301$7,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,434.3665642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Magic65c6,362$4,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.2133752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Pelicans20c5,710$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.4123548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e61…4700backed Pelicans34c4,705$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked Pelicans22c3,797$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.014045%18 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x59ef…0a27backed Pelicans34c3,130$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0772556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4483…46d2backed Magic68c3,121$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.593053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Magic71c2,893$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.2561532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dca…7819backed Magic66c2,817$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Magic67c2,809$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.8427546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2b…ed08backed Pelicans38c2,469$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.755028%14 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x698c…5f40backed Pelicans9c2,428$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.612326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans2c2,284$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.891,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54c2…e299backed Pelicans35c2,149$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a4f…79fbbacked Magic68c2,144$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.122231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x737e…8e9bbacked Pelicans29c2,001$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.953946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddd…5a93backed Pelicans34c1,842$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b5…07b8backed Magic68c1,841$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb3d…1ea4backed Magic66c1,754$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.415100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1513…dfcabacked Pelicans39c1,700$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.071315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Pelicans32c1,546$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008937.1%33 W · 56 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Pelicans33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9816242%68 W · 94 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed Pelicans32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.974257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+70.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Magic73c1,471$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.6570951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Magic68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5928063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c87…6cfebacked Pelicans34c1,388$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Magic62c1,293$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.261,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29f8…28e5backed Magic67c1,257$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Magic71c1,234$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.8614233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Magic68c1,233$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.0319642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic69c1,197$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.011,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cc…9c8ebacked Pelicans34c1,188$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Pelicans38c1,168$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.9637954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa397…a9e4backed Magic68c1,103$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.01560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Magic79c1,098$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.112040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad5d…f0c2backed Pelicans34c1,078$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fdd…03fcbacked Magic68c1,078$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34d6…8d72backed Pelicans38c1,049$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+20.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Pelicans29c1,024$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pelicans29c999.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Magic61c942.07$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.4146131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa20f…06a4backed Magic67c754.9$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x068a…331ebacked Magic69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.641250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb5…98f8backed Pelicans28c700$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c69…b1debacked Magic71c699.99$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2031566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+55.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb492…b7edbacked Pelicans34c670.56$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.991931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-50.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc16d…0af8backed Pelicans11c669.95$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecd3…8752backed Pelicans34c634$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c79…d3b3backed Magic68c634$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans34c603.44$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.0372341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Pelicans21c600$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12618437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Magic67c600$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19710462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb291…0c5abacked Magic68c598.59$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans12c511.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.221,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Pelicans31c500$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.512247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Pelicans13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4201…4334backed Pelicans38c489.47$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1861241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Pelicans21c480$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.616443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdb4…de92backed Pelicans34c413.35$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5440%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…c6a5backed Pelicans40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7fc…2cb8backed Magic68c390.01$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Pelicans34c367.65$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Pelicans27c359.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7936057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Pelicans5c344.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1913611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x892a…89d8backed Magic67c340.01$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.521540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pelicans32c339.87$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.362351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63fb…2719backed Pelicans40c330.31$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x358e…bdb6backed Magic66c322$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cee…1832backed Pelicans34c308.94$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0419151.8%99 W · 92 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e8…8c0bbacked Pelicans40c304.89$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Pelicans33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf71…3fbcbacked Pelicans40c302.56$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6aa…d2f5backed Pelicans33c299.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.992119%4 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-66.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Pelicans34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0150…a67abacked Pelicans34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6a1…70ecbacked Pelicans58c279.97$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Magic67c278.73$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7621649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42cb…cd00backed Pelicans40c266.58$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bdd…dc27backed Magic68c233.65$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Pelicans13c221.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8811332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aaa…8381backed Pelicans18c219.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa26e…c212backed Pelicans18c215$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…24c2backed Pelicans33c200.75$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.882619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04b8…3bfcbacked Pelicans32c200.03$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.011216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Magic68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11c9…3c74backed Magic66c195.65$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbab6…e5afbacked Pelicans31c159.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d96…a478backed Magic63c158.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.361346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Pelicans14c155$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0314542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x603a…fc8bbacked Magic66c151.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.284652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bfd…8c00backed Pelicans36c147.22$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Magic68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0627041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ed…dc9ebacked Magic68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Magic68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0618666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa8a9…6771backed Pelicans8c142.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.423158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.