Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a2c3cb71596cf7d30060b285598988d8c3169bc8f5cf99f200595ffb3a80e39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 0c | 75,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 61c | 2,548$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.45 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.99 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 27c | 2,034$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.2 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…ce8bbacked No | 66c | 1,622$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 65c | 1,580$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.97 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed No | 73c | 1,434$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.9 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 37c | 1,355$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.72 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 65c | 1,277$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.22 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…7f08backed Yes | 35c | 1,217$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.08 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 62c | 1,160$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.67 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…c7bebacked Yes | 34c | 970.13$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x025e…0420backed Yes | 36c | 917.37$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf0…9363backed No | 66c | 878.43$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 76c | 857.1$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 63c | 830.2$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.02 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…8874backed Yes | 35c | 557.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.67per pick | 34cpaid | +230.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2629…417cbacked No | 65c | 535$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes | 35c | 525.71$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 466.11$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.93 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e4…1f69backed No | 64c | 449.95$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed No | 66c | 448.02$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 64c | 298.97$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.34 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…38e7backed No | 73c | 289.37$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed No | 66c | 227.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a6…40e3backed Yes | 42c | 225.17$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 64c | 221.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.07 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 23c | 219.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.13 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 65c | 215.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.38 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…53cebacked Yes | 43c | 207.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 16c | 177.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…f3cdbacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…9e52backed No | 80c | 144.88$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…551ebacked No | 66c | 120.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb16a…5a8bbacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 36c | 112.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 72c | 106$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…5765backed No | 66c | 105.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked Yes | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…3f91backed No | 66c | 100.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…83dabacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0245…0c88backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c0…6fa6backed No | 66c | 98.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…0aa6backed No | 66c | 97.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fa…13cebacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…4cd5backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…79d7backed Yes | 36c | 76.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…4a9ebacked Yes | 37c | 59.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f54…68e6backed Yes | 36c | 58.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…b78ebacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Yes | 35c | 55.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…96a1backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…6d5dbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bb…0103backed Yes | 42c | 54.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…2835backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff50…de6fbacked No | 66c | 49.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8f…128bbacked Yes | 42c | 43.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…be4dbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f54…8303backed Yes | 60c | 41.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 63c | 36.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…7febbacked Yes | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…11fbbacked No | 66c | 33.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…5b3fbacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06e…f471backed Yes | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…e782backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…3175backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 65c | 19.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e02…1ae6backed No | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-10?this page
- Will Nottingham Forest vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.