TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes36c15,000$5,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,448.183237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed No64c10,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6003650%18 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No67c7,475$4,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,493.422433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No63c4,388$2,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.3840254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecf8…f5cdbacked Yes36c2,780$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes38c2,359$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8881526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7405750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7403647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789e…fd45backed Yes36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb20…a151backed No63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5555742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes37c1,353$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed No51c1,259$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.461936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No64c1,196$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.514342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed No62c1,100$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.855959.3%35 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed No64c1,057$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.753551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes35c899.99$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31225648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba48…6d5fbacked No64c839.97$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b74…a4f4backed Yes36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002025%5 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Yes41c665.13$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.837841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed No46c651.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.092548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf1…2504backed No47c648.94$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd95a…f689backed No47c635.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc48…7294backed No64c632.38$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22515337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1999…fedbbacked No66c602.18$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.18366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e99…0600backed No51c583.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85e…8625backed No64c580$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…b65fbacked No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes53c499.81$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.949361.3%57 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes42c485$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.75729.8%17 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No64c470.41$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6714659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No65c466.11$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.777336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked No64c420$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.22277.3%17 W · 5 L+5.5wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+56.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed Yes35c402$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.75554.5%30 W · 25 L+10.6wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+60.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x33dc…9661backed Yes54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No63c322.32$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.5429643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6092…67f8backed Yes63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes37c300.77$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.015641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes35c299.99$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Yes12c295.1$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.28850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1fe…2835backed Yes43c271.31$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.452944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes37c271.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5915636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cd3…3c5abacked Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes52c266.19$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4228355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed Yes33c256.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.511546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ed…adddbacked No63c255.97$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.71875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+99.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5ac9…7d06backed Yes38c218.89$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.571513.3%2 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick35cpaid-67.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x525e…624cbacked Yes37c216.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-34.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb16a…5a8bbacked Yes64c204.72$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x843a…8070backed Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684537.8%17 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a97…0fc7backed Yes37c178.75$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ed…f36abacked Yes35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes34c167.81$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2366031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes45c157.57$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6929238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x188b…6003backed No64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252556%14 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Yes65c153.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004835.4%17 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2d…45d5backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5432736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb7d…4c8dbacked Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x578a…ef44backed Yes36c137.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.522536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f90…38e7backed Yes37c135.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-68.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f9a…8ae8backed Yes38c134.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes38c132.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502737%10 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503826.3%10 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No29c128.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6419743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xcdc2…858ebacked Yes38c127.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6451…025fbacked Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406230.6%19 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x297e…0bf9backed No65c110.77$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.77475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+81.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf80a…1a16backed Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0245…0c88backed Yes37c100.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Yes35c100.03$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.015653.6%30 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29de…5c1bbacked Yes36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3811353.1%60 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c7…83dabacked No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+134.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1703…6aeabacked Yes39c95.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b56…ac2dbacked Yes62c80.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No64c75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2742755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa416…84d9backed No64c75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271080%8 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Yes33c74.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c2…8987backed No67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes43c72.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.995740.4%23 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f51…c731backed Yes37c70.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac7…8deebacked Yes37c69.54$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.671450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75b…3817backed Yes36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Yes37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba99…8f26backed Yes77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504621.7%10 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7dc…9908backed Yes36c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.48937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes36c59.52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.431540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No63c58.13$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3214450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes45c53.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9869772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3bd7…c1f3backed No64c51.25$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.453534.3%12 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.57343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb39a…7a99backed Yes36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed No63c49.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.516060%96 W · 64 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked No48c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.411915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes52c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.437652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa17…3d7fbacked Yes37c42.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ca…c806backed Yes38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.