TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Kings, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,208
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,818

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,208 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x23b1…8e10backed Kings1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008937.1%33 W · 56 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings1c7,689$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.091,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Spurs46c6,888$3,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,731.6721649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95cc…7f08backed Spurs48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.952564%16 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+51.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked Kings52c4,999$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6144045%18 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Spurs43c4,515$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.1770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Spurs49c4,020$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.2727546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Kings58c3,823$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.048046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef8…dce7backed Kings57c2,367$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.41250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+75.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c69…b1debacked Spurs43c2,367$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.41566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+55.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Kings52c1,778$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.584637%17 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Spurs57c1,393$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.7165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe918…c597backed Kings57c1,314$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17de…8b83backed Spurs46c1,287$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.061266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8326…da54backed Kings53c1,259$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.241346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8025…ef54backed Kings59c1,186$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6283…0cf9backed Spurs42c1,107$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.142751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid+10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Kings5c1,025$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3519137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Spurs45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.391,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Kings52c999.97$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.981,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c4f…4afebacked Kings56c957.99$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc48…7294backed Spurs48c957.9$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.111266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3010…00c2backed Spurs58c951.47$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.473237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Kings46c842.98$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.9225939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f59…6eb9backed Kings56c692.86$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Spurs44c634.5$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9812247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Spurs61c592.54$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.4247656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Kings52c570.58$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29610462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698c…5f40backed Kings13c553.49$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.12326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Kings3c550$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.513611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs37c508.57$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.151,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Spurs54c457.93$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.0711250%56 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Spurs45c424.9$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.2527939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings13c420.26$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.491,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Spurs48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.679130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x433e…3f60backed Spurs49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x603a…fc8bbacked Kings52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2084652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ed…dc9ebacked Spurs48c356.94$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.611154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x355b…30adbacked Kings56c354.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings49c309.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.151,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Spurs56c299.97$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9826547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94be…5ac7backed Kings52c295.76$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…5419backed Kings51c276.09$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404351.2%22 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7fbc…5e61backed Kings56c270.66$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.57728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…72e6backed Spurs44c227$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Kings25c223.64$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3553250.4%268 W · 264 L-19.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8289…637abacked Kings52c216.59$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd35…c85ebacked Kings53c207.55$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107347.9%35 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea7…f625backed Kings52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048232.9%27 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c4…55cfbacked Kings51c199.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.993135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x98a4…eeaabacked Kings45c195.56$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8811636.2%42 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Kings52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Kings53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea4…9a66backed Kings58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x833d…faedbacked Spurs46c171$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.761040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…8ff3backed Kings50c170.65$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.331050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Spurs45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.517846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Kings43c145.38$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8214542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Spurs48c143.86$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.818952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd44…edb6backed Kings36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bd1…b023backed Kings16c133.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212326.1%6 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Spurs45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1165218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Kings36c107.93$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2211332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Kings28c106.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015911.9%19 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Kings52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524462.3%152 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca69…fd01backed Spurs50c105.09$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.42965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Spurs49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0418053.3%96 W · 84 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Kings63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6324549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe831…f696backed Kings58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Spurs45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5527642%116 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Kings53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539045.6%41 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b0…4dffbacked Spurs49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x647f…cd57backed Kings52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Spurs49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5113341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e20…354ebacked Kings52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ea…6f18backed Kings23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205438.9%21 W · 33 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaf2…b7bcbacked Kings24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202532%8 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac26…ff5dbacked Kings62c82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.743161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Kings52c76.2$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405221.2%11 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-51.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6752…d728backed Spurs49c75.27$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.39580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe93f…8a2ebacked Spurs49c74.14$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.811163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Kings54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4088335.3%312 W · 571 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Kings28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc97e…5340backed Kings42c71.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Kings72c69.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0959743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f85…d745backed Spurs45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6710441.3%43 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd6…d874backed Kings30c62.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.67650%38 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba4c…c4cbbacked Spurs49c60.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…dd8ebacked Kings52c59.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.752445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99ec…388ebacked Kings52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Kings57c56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9234644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cb…33f4backed Spurs49c55.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bdd…bbb8backed Spurs45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.565750.9%29 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d5…124bbacked Kings54c53.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+103.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae6f…7399backed Kings57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304753.2%25 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9126…a984backed Spurs58c51.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1716…54b5backed Kings53c50.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba19…0f73backed Spurs47c50.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.086350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…311abacked Spurs48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Spurs56c49.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9927548.7%134 W · 141 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.