TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,917

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,168 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4b46…db60backed Grizzlies53c13,599$7,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,411.153748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Trail Blazers0c8,615$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0718316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Trail Blazers47c6,211$2,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.0165642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Trail Blazers46c5,215$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.547656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers1c4,355$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.681,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Trail Blazers48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9723648.7%115 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc53e…da94backed Grizzlies52c2,824$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.94757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Trail Blazers1c2,778$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Trail Blazers47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70510244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8025…ef54backed Grizzlies52c1,308$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.693345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6283…0cf9backed Trail Blazers52c1,289$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6702751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid+10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd65a…5529backed Grizzlies51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c69…b1debacked Trail Blazers49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5881566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+55.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Grizzlies53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4706943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Trail Blazers3c982.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8113611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Trail Blazers46c963.18$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa56…bae3backed Trail Blazers48c947.67$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.88540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Trail Blazers49c878.06$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43027939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d5…124bbacked Grizzlies50c860.88$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.441154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+103.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc89b…451fbacked Trail Blazers48c858.85$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers50c833.33$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.661,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Trail Blazers46c792.66$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.7121649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0c0…79ddbacked Grizzlies53c740.42$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0338…3917backed Trail Blazers49c611.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.69850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Trail Blazers6c600$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.611926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x432d…a2d4backed Trail Blazers5c582.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.13447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Trail Blazers33c576.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1485347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Trail Blazers47c570.87$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.356141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Trail Blazers48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24012247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0238…ba26backed Trail Blazers48c414.72$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.072227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers34c402.66$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.261,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Grizzlies49c388.35$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.063839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88d…aa04backed Trail Blazers51c388.35$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.06650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1631…f260backed Grizzlies52c388.35$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.41757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…f468backed Grizzlies53c335$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.451573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Grizzlies52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14410462.5%65 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Grizzlies56c235.84$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9919642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4e4…928dbacked Trail Blazers48c233.33$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-67.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Grizzlies55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1830954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7146…3be4backed Trail Blazers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-65.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Grizzlies53c207.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.555616.1%9 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-56.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Grizzlies51c203.12$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.546131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c5…0544backed Trail Blazers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c4…55cfbacked Grizzlies52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Grizzlies66c190.46$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7620245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0026…cd66backed Trail Blazers40c188.11$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511428.1%32 W · 82 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Grizzlies54c185.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2316440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x78da…9d47backed Grizzlies57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.446851.5%35 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd722…9cb9backed Grizzlies53c170.08$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2cf…e031backed Trail Blazers49c166.67$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2b…b14dbacked Grizzlies53c166.66$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Grizzlies60c159.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d2…52d6backed Grizzlies53c156.6$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.61154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33b5…88bfbacked Trail Blazers10c155.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.94163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+38.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe70b…e8f5backed Grizzlies53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.94875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Trail Blazers48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7217846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Grizzlies53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.510243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06da…3256backed Grizzlies53c128.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.31010%1 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick51cpaid-81.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers9c106.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.121,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2b…ed08backed Trail Blazers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505028%14 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed Trail Blazers11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115942.8%68 W · 91 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4384…f52fbacked Trail Blazers34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344742.6%20 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5ac…2790backed Grizzlies53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba19…0f73backed Trail Blazers47c93$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.526350.8%32 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Trail Blazers28c80.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2524147.3%114 W · 127 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Trail Blazers33c75.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x951a…f421backed Grizzlies74c70.24$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed Grizzlies52c70.03$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.716639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Grizzlies53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.624462.3%152 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac26…ff5dbacked Grizzlies53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.63161.3%19 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebb…4c67backed Grizzlies54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.568752.9%46 W · 41 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe75b…3817backed Trail Blazers48c51.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid+5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…f956backed Trail Blazers25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b8…2449backed Grizzlies53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.518053.3%96 W · 84 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-17.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda62…a9a6backed Grizzlies56c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0626…2574backed Grizzlies51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-56.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed Trail Blazers35c38.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2824549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe680…8788backed Grizzlies52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick36cpaid+84.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6324…7febbacked Grizzlies53c38.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.061172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde96…5290backed Grizzlies53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bd6…d874backed Grizzlies53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.747650%38 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d9…b416backed Grizzlies53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6b…7b67backed Grizzlies54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.043253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50d2…0d35backed Trail Blazers49c34.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.076043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5138…1d4dbacked Grizzlies53c30.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.379645.8%44 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d6…c255backed Grizzlies71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.74665.2%30 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1872…1962backed Trail Blazers50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159154.9%50 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a1…14e0backed Grizzlies52c29.98$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d8…2c07backed Grizzlies51c29.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8024…ba91backed Trail Blazers51c29.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510954.1%59 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b3…1b12backed Grizzlies52c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.921546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07db…10d5backed Grizzlies53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf31…75aabacked Grizzlies55c28.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee0e…11fbbacked Grizzlies65c26.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.151145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf147…65ecbacked Grizzlies53c25.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.16450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc6…e5a8backed Grizzlies52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb39…6f51backed Grizzlies53c24.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ea…002fbacked Grizzlies53c24.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf081…718bbacked Trail Blazers50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.