Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb78782aa1615d0dd15e7eca2a8587ba9701838ed79bb0058d56e6bf2d0f8a92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $660,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $660,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $660,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 566 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 51c | 151,375$77,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,173.6 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked No | 52c | 93,418$48,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,840.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 57,298$28,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,075.98 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 52,071$25,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,350.37 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 48c | 48,764$23,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,406.92 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 36,712$17,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,988.62 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Yes | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 22,739$14,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,545.34 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 49c | 19,868$9,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,754.5 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 17,505$8,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,607.43 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 16,014$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 52c | 14,038$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,738.46 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed No | 52c | 11,538$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,538.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 49c | 11,403$5,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,601.09 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 10,577$5,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.21 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Yes | 49c | 10,300$5,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,047 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.97 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 51c | 9,990$5,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,895.05 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes | 5c | 9,833$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 44c | 9,597$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.04 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 8,290$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.7 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 51c | 8,129$4,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.17 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 13c | 7,710$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.77 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 43c | 7,201$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 59c | 6,723$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.97 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed No | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.17 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 38c | 5,189$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.73 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked No | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 52c | 4,216$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.72 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…7ca0backed Yes | 49c | 4,199$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked No | 52c | 4,000$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 49c | 3,932$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.78 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 52c | 3,629$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.87 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 15c | 3,500$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.63 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 51c | 3,363$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.31 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.97 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Yes | 48c | 2,883$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5508…5a70backed Yes | 49c | 2,760$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.95 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 51c | 2,182$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.18 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Yes | 13c | 2,028$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.87 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed No | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,921$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.35 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked Yes | 47c | 1,523$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5d…014bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,502$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 48c | 1,460$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6936…be97backed Yes | 14c | 1,460$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…ac13backed Yes | 43c | 1,405$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 1,391$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.41 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 37c | 1,346$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.05 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 50c | 1,343$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…3f31backed Yes | 48c | 1,330$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 49c | 1,302$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.98 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 1,269$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.87 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…a012backed Yes | 49c | 1,240$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef7…3eb0backed No | 52c | 1,223$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 44c | 1,140$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,105$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 50c | 1,006$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…d298backed No | 52c | 949.23$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 52c | 938.46$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.46 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 18c | 922.36$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58b…cba8backed Yes | 24c | 912.49$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed No | 52c | 846.13$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Yes | 49c | 812.8$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 49c | 802.47$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.26 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed No | 52c | 782.62$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked Yes | 18c | 735.02$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 47c | 732.99$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 26c | 723.01$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.76 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a00…f502backed Yes | 23c | 704.08$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed No | 51c | 697.11$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.58 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?this page
- Will Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma end in a draw?No won
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.