TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No72c12,975$9,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,688.7696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Yes31c3,300$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c3,143$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.792,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9722551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c2,608$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.4840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes3c2,235$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.410039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x039b…7007backed Yes30c2,038$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.31333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c1,905$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes23c1,800$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.132040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4654727.7%13 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c1,449$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.2593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes30c1,447$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4344030%12 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c1,419$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.0149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes26c1,417$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.1149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes31c1,373$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.817248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes34c1,314$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.853622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes13c1,159$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-78.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No69c1,069$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.0340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked No70c999.78$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.931471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40d1…cacfbacked No71c870.63$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.634100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes31c835.48$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2596431.3%20 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d5f…67b1backed No71c814.51$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.513100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes30c807$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.111153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x174d…39eebacked No71c725.42$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.42580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…3f31backed Yes43c700$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No60c630$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25211667.2%78 W · 38 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes16c600$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9631738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b5d…014bbacked Yes30c554.97$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca00…2256backed Yes21c480.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes28c474.54$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2117529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fec…871cbacked Yes29c449.76$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes23c432$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.536863.2%43 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c430.42$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1670…2277backed Yes31c409.68$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1274344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c404$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2435646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11631441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f1f…c2b7backed No71c392.96$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes29c350$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.55728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes15c346.21$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.934835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes29c340$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.61526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4046…de2bbacked No71c335.21$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+52.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x667c…7958backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cf…5f47backed Yes30c320.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9d…527bbacked Yes29c301.28$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.375855.2%32 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes30c286.67$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked No60c282.59$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.041070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes29c280$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.216032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes30c253.79$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1426046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes12c253.64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3111619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes30c228$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.422348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb61c…d57dbacked No71c204.23$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5222…a3b7backed No71c202.82$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked No67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668100%8 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes24c199.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4826747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes24c199.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.232924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed Yes31c189.94$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.88812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-82.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No59c186.17$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0522743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked No68c177.21$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.714953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cb…2087backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501650%8 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No69c162.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6315259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Yes29c162.59$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cad…671abacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes30c158.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.663745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c97…269cbacked Yes20c151$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb896…db2dbacked No71c149.3$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca3…eecdbacked No71c147.89$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf379…33dcbacked No71c143.66$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked Yes29c143.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes40c142.88$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1361…501ebacked No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ab…ba97backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes20c138.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285532.7%18 W · 37 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec2…00f6backed Yes30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No72c117.97$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.036744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Yes29c116.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b2…7917backed Yes29c113.97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0500backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes31c106.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.945028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes26c103.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302766.7%18 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273568.6%24 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4398…41e3backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4312422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes34c97.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2220431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes31c96.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307136.6%26 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No58c88.88$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.336070%42 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Yes30c84.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.355347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.