College Football · resolved market
Wake Forest vs. Florida State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf823d211cd8f166bc2a35162bd182a5da0a4eeaec233b7334d1d69ef714c0da3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Stateof Wake Forest, Florida State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Wake Forest | 16c | 80,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Florida State | 76c | 37,427$28,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,992.78 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wake Forest | 22c | 11,064$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.14 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Florida State | 78c | 6,608$5,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.76 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Florida State | 78c | 6,185$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.7 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Florida State | 75c | 5,155$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.75 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Wake Forest | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Florida State | 77c | 4,536$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.36 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wake Forest | 22c | 4,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Wake Forest | 18c | 4,370$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida State | 76c | 3,811$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.63 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Wake Forest | 13c | 2,884$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.45 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Wake Forest | 25c | 2,321$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.5 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…9ed3backed Wake Forest | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida State | 74c | 1,811$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.56 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Wake Forest | 23c | 1,289$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Florida State | 74c | 1,177$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.93 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wake Forest | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Wake Forest | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Wake Forest | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Wake Forest | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wake Forest | 21c | 866$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.86 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Florida State | 76c | 777.27$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.55 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Florida State | 80c | 691.29$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Florida State | 75c | 668.08$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.02 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wake Forest | 28c | 597$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.92 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Florida State | 78c | 536.36$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Wake Forest | 26c | 505$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…5da2backed Wake Forest | 24c | 495$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida State | 76c | 429$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Florida State | 79c | 401$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wake Forest | 26c | 390.61$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Florida State | 76c | 335.53$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Wake Forest | 13c | 317.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Wake Forest | 28c | 255.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Wake Forest | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ab…482ebacked Wake Forest | 14c | 225$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Wake Forest | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Wake Forest | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…4b8dbacked Wake Forest | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wake Forest | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Wake Forest | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Wake Forest | 21c | 199.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…2e92backed Wake Forest | 25c | 199.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…dd42backed Wake Forest | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…675fbacked Wake Forest | 22c | 168.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wake Forest | 25c | 167.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Wake Forest | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Wake Forest | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Wake Forest | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Wake Forest | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Florida State | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Wake Forest | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Wake Forest | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Wake Forest | 17c | 105.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…b4a7backed Wake Forest | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wake Forest | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Wake Forest | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Florida State | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…7febbacked Wake Forest | 22c | 72.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Wake Forest | 24c | 67.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Wake Forest | 22c | 65.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbc…93ebbacked Florida State | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Wake Forest | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb39…6f51backed Wake Forest | 23c | 56.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…745bbacked Wake Forest | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x608f…2354backed Florida State | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Wake Forest | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…80eebacked Wake Forest | 30c | 49.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Wake Forest | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Florida State | 72c | 34.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…6321backed Florida State | 78c | 33.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…e189backed Florida State | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 76cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00e6…3d22backed Florida State | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wake Forest vs. Florida Statethis page
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Florida State (-10.5)Florida State won
- Spread: Florida State (-11.5)Florida State won
- Spread: Florida State (-8.5)Florida State won
- Spread: Florida State (-9.5)Florida State won
- Wake Forest vs. Florida State: O/U 50.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.