TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$806,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$841,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $806,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 583 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed No71c78,844$55,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,230.66048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No71c77,777$55,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,555.324548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes29c71,243$20,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,660.1610948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed No71c70,000$49,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,299.881656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes32c68,259$21,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,544.063342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes29c18,632$5,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,403.166746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c17,519$11,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,574.151,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No79c15,567$12,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,283.8760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e8b…11cabacked Yes33c15,414$5,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,049.451050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes36c14,590$5,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,229.5383444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No68c13,787$9,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,467.715750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed Yes29c13,444$3,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,875.611118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-75.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No71c12,896$9,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,739.968041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c1d…931abacked Yes33c12,800$4,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,224.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd577…2bb7backed No68c9,953$6,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,184.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed No68c9,808$6,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,138.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes31c8,797$2,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,683.252365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No69c8,081$5,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,540.216051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes29c7,729$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.535759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes30c7,600$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.7328357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca1…dd13backed No72c7,276$5,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,021.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No68c6,981$4,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.967553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x734b…cedebacked Yes32c6,893$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.17520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c6,642$4,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,066.511,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes1c6,142$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3644039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9205749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No68c6,000$4,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.965853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ce…96dcbacked Yes10c5,219$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6002755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed No72c4,962$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.593043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed No72c4,957$3,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.04366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes32c4,928$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.979244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes32c4,645$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.323732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3011…43d9backed Yes10c4,627$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes28c4,409$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.6224145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c4,225$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.32,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No54c4,020$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.1621322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No68c4,000$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.9815952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes49c3,710$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.9125872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes29c3,612$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.537954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No72c3,610$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.7922455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No69c3,600$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.464457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes20c3,598$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.854,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes19c3,507$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.0312338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No69c3,368$2,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.14348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes29c3,200$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92825648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No68c3,191$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.7112757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No72c3,110$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.8823456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes32c3,021$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.8715516.1%25 W · 130 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed Yes33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.111154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5132…150dbacked No67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9901100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b3…490ebacked Yes32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3763…c7a1backed Yes33c2,975$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x794f…3906backed Yes11c2,849$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.79333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes31c2,748$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.964526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No73c2,500$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6754564.4%29 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes29c2,475$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.692326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1e…f563backed No72c2,250$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea03…a5a3backed Yes33c2,181$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.8540%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed Yes31c2,133$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.59714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes30c2,054$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.6722758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed No68c2,005$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No69c2,000$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6304850%24 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6407561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes32c2,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.986546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes21c1,991$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.4390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Yes28c1,967$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.191631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Yes13c1,940$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.791822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes29c1,931$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.0415459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbf…2e75backed No69c1,849$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c1,719$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.1492254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6492…de49backed Yes27c1,707$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e7…68d2backed Yes29c1,658$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.94616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-73.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes32c1,658$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.443551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Yes29c1,651$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfece…ef64backed Yes29c1,651$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No68c1,646$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.6915051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes14c1,642$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.873850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No68c1,600$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.995253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes12c1,579$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.441844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes29c1,542$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.222035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa645…9752backed Yes28c1,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed Yes30c1,487$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.22853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes57c1,461$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.4149057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No68c1,441$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.281136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes28c1,432$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.93327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+70.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe55a…da97backed Yes29c1,420$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked No77c1,340$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.614055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No77c1,334$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.8111266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No76c1,328$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7421950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes11c1,323$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4360832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes29c1,322$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.4311333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No68c1,300$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.9810268.6%70 W · 32 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes28c1,226$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.31631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes32c1,221$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.233138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes23c1,210$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.210230.4%31 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a47…76dcbacked Yes6c1,129$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.981442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+154.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb8e…962bbacked Yes8c1,104$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.341741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c1…0bc4backed No69c1,099$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.