TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Bengals vs. Ravens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ravensof Bengals, Ravens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$782,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$809,874

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $782,246 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 666 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee5f…9a8bbacked Bengals69c49,436$34,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,352.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Bengals36c40,256$14,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,296.1525137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Bengals26c34,111$8,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,982.6832438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Bengals37c33,206$12,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,174.01757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cec…2be4backed Ravens70c25,054$17,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,428.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Bengals26c18,493$4,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,891.634330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Ravens72c17,251$12,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,830.249259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Ravens46c15,653$7,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,409.42245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Bengals28c15,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.986734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Bengals29c12,645$3,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,612.127339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94dc…c779backed Ravens71c11,325$8,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,284.147853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Bengals58c10,783$6,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,263.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-74.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Ravens70c10,341$7,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,152.049949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Ravens52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8008035%28 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Bengals1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020440.7%83 W · 121 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ec…3665backed Ravens77c9,619$7,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.12665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Ravens46c7,768$3,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,182.3714147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Bengals4c7,604$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.2910334%35 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Bengals10c6,899$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.3121713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Ravens67c6,217$4,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.5619864.6%128 W · 70 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Bengals31c6,131$1,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.7422638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Bengals18c5,748$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.637526.7%20 W · 55 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Ravens73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35012570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Bengals28c4,834$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.3444246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed Bengals28c4,713$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.522619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf012…c29dbacked Bengals26c4,633$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.511435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcd…165cbacked Ravens24c4,623$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,509.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+315.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6321…aeb6backed Ravens49c4,172$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e9…af79backed Bengals48c3,737$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.341127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d34…e78abacked Ravens73c3,678$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55a…8846backed Ravens70c3,607$2,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bengals45c3,521$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.228556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffb8…8027backed Bengals29c3,517$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.961250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x289f…98b2backed Bengals3c3,509$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.792864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Bengals21c3,501$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.186518.5%12 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-50.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe2b…ed08backed Bengals31c3,374$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.221526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Bengals28c3,307$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.977844.9%35 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b2…3845backed Bengals21c3,181$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b8…3bfcbacked Ravens76c3,122$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+150.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Ravens58c3,110$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.925925.4%15 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bengals36c3,000$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Bengals21c2,916$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.788218.3%15 W · 67 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0fd…a7dabacked Ravens72c2,778$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.781855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4483…46d2backed Ravens73c2,744$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc88…681abacked Bengals29c2,735$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7961127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Ravens65c2,705$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.812157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5445…58f0backed Bengals68c2,695$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.733333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c3a…99f0backed Bengals28c2,596$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.96425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ef…0a27backed Bengals29c2,562$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c2…e299backed Ravens72c2,562$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bengals29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7254226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Bengals61c2,364$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.461338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Bengals36c2,158$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.5733328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Bengals33c2,140$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.36338.1%24 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Bengals28c2,127$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.283551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Ravens70c2,099$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.7418645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa043…f0e5backed Bengals45c2,056$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Bengals26c1,984$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.613946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87c0…2a6dbacked Bengals13c1,900$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Ravens72c1,887$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.168250%41 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a4…75c1backed Ravens63c1,773$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.7618658.1%108 W · 78 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd265…5c25backed Bengals29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…b49ebacked Bengals27c1,720$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.39110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Ravens59c1,700$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.94366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Ravens72c1,687$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.2336246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e1…69a4backed Bengals33c1,663$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5505829.3%17 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-47.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1a1b…7b38backed Ravens23c1,635$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd35d…7089backed Ravens46c1,614$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.6414452.8%76 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Ravens52c1,582$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.0721454.7%117 W · 97 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb125…cb78backed Ravens32c1,563$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.55729.8%17 W · 40 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Ravens72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42022142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Bengals26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39014445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c9…405dbacked Bengals35c1,492$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b74…a4f4backed Bengals29c1,477$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.41816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac6…a6cebacked Bengals30c1,470$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4411225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-64.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a4f…79fbbacked Ravens72c1,469$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.441266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca94…336ebacked Bengals72c1,394$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0fc…c1e8backed Ravens72c1,339$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49d3…ea4ebacked Bengals17c1,307$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.97248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-84.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddd…5a93backed Bengals29c1,286$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b5…07b8backed Ravens72c1,286$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…7ad5backed Bengals35c1,265$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.891520%3 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-62.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Bengals27c1,255$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb5…98f8backed Ravens72c1,254$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa414…8b5fbacked Ravens72c1,250$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Bengals8c1,243$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.625939%23 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bengals42c1,155$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.1610624.5%26 W · 80 L-12.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc0d9…ad02backed Ravens69c1,153$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.293767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1999…fedbbacked Bengals37c1,124$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.31540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4242…2de1backed Bengals32c1,113$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Ravens55c1,095$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.719754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8523…2a09backed Bengals29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Bengals30c1,030$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.6513040%52 W · 78 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c2a…4ab7backed Bengals29c1,014$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-62.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Bengals1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012934.9%45 W · 84 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4192…7f00backed Bengals28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e71…3838backed Bengals29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2905038%19 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe661…3cffbacked Bengals31c1,000$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9595…1b16backed Ravens72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Ravens23c999.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.7614139%55 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.