TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Suns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Kings, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,901 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Kings50c39,325$19,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,473.8847656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…3665backed Suns70c15,176$10,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,620.984060%24 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Kings40c13,394$5,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,069.594637%17 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff48…b0ecbacked Suns59c10,000$5,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,885.711421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Suns50c3,734$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.596943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Suns40c3,254$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30027041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb492…b7edbacked Suns50c2,749$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.031931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-50.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Suns65c2,660$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.8114233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda62…a9a6backed Suns46c2,382$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.78560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b4…e0febacked Kings51c2,261$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.374045%18 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Kings25c2,013$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.2425939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Kings15c1,930$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.7111332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Kings49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9910244.1%45 W · 57 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Suns57c1,354$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.0465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Suns5c1,335$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.411,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x816b…035bbacked Kings66c1,333$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+88.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Suns43c1,323$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.5218316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Suns53c1,272$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.8419642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Suns51c1,180$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.0446131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Suns49c1,075$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.66955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings60c1,061$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.3770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Kings66c1,040$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.5826934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Suns48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Suns49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Kings51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49023648.7%115 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Kings52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4808442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8650…b8babacked Suns49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Suns42c938.1$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3946533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Kings42c935.17$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.7370951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd35…c85ebacked Kings49c875.96$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.427347.9%35 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Kings49c800.08$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.1912247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Suns4c800$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Suns75c800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60019650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed Kings51c783.87$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.11968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+86.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Kings16c781.25$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.2515034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kings37c752.51$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Suns44c690.27$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.7222430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Kings36c681.5$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.8685347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Kings45c660.74$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.856141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…72e6backed Kings37c629.99$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.79650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Suns33c599.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1989130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Kings60c571$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.424554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Suns40c532.81$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0619137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Suns51c492.59$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd323…9e96backed Suns77c485.09$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.521050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Kings50c482.19$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.133752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings46c467.29$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.341,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2eb…f1b0backed Suns50c396.72$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.361838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b1e…cee2backed Suns50c396.48$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1631…f260backed Kings54c390.24$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.45757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Suns52c384.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6324462.3%152 W · 92 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x355b…30adbacked Suns41c363.35$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8c…abf0backed Suns8c358$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.64450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4027…1afbbacked Kings51c334$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.28580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd65a…5529backed Suns50c328.93$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.47837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Suns49c322.45$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15836449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed Suns59c317.59$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6310054%54 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Kings49c307.44$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7912040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Kings39c302.56$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.0372341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Suns53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15926547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Suns49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1478547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Suns49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14762539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Kings51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1477549.3%37 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings18c300$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2461,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Suns14c283.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7335734.5%123 W · 234 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Suns37c272.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Suns31c250$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.511926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd52…6f4fbacked Suns42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef7b…542fbacked Kings65c217.84$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.841560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f19…5df8backed Suns35c211.95$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.521553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Suns28c210$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.358754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc35e…8868backed Kings24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.331533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c4…55cfbacked Suns49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Kings53c201.89$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8915149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Kings45c201.31$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0621649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Kings41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11822039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ea7…f625backed Suns74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1488232.9%27 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Suns18c188.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3424844%109 W · 139 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab38…e1e2backed Kings53c188.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85f5…0009backed Kings52c182.21$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.463056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Suns47c171.82$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7234644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6967…1986backed Suns49c171$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.791353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x432d…a2d4backed Suns61c166.92$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.273447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Kings54c152.94$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9465218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Suns48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7223048.3%111 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.51,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Kings50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7510243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c7c…3228backed Suns67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Kings59c146.98$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2616553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8369…3c94backed Suns59c141.65$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe438…9471backed Suns37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506536.9%24 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ae5…3113backed Suns79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023359.7%139 W · 94 L+0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd0a…63abbacked Suns75c121.33$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914434.1%15 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Kings44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.214542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9de3…2706backed Suns53c114.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.862147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…175ebacked Suns79c114.64$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Kings53c112.62$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.628937.1%33 W · 56 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Kings32c110$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.83839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe95f…4ffcbacked Suns39c109.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x925e…6111backed Suns70c107.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+52.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.