Token Launches · resolved market
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b44752393207b63ed651c48cc0babd71a947e2d070147bbf0bb81f05e8d58b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b6…8863backed No | 0c | 29,514$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c2…29ebbacked No | 14c | 11,053$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 40c | 8,403$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,080.23 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 2c | 8,195$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.35 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked Yes | 20c | 8,105$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,483.71 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +7.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…9fb8backed Yes | 44c | 7,255$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,075.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 38c | 6,670$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,127.79 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 6,190$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 63c | 5,333$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.21 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…c136backed No | 79c | 4,309$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.93 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6903…b6f9backed No | 15c | 3,686$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 57c | 3,446$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.66 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…46e4backed No | 75c | 3,350$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 30c | 3,000$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…49aabacked No | 4c | 2,923$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c9…d693backed No | 12c | 2,869$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 61c | 2,778$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.56 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed No | 73c | 2,516$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.74 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 2,250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…3a7abacked No | 42c | 2,232$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7950…1d42backed Yes | 22c | 2,099$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f61…011abacked Yes | 25c | 1,984$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…57d3backed Yes | 36c | 1,973$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…ebdebacked Yes | 34c | 1,965$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.73 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 55c | 1,894$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.43 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…d8b7backed No | 9c | 1,855$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.78 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…55e1backed No | 32c | 1,742$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 66c | 1,691$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.86 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…d855backed No | 8c | 1,690$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.92 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d0…46f6backed No | 61c | 1,643$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed No | 70c | 1,640$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.93 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…6a54backed No | 61c | 1,633$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +325.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5238…26adbacked No | 4c | 1,609$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed No | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Yes | 26c | 1,600$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b78…2cd6backed Yes | 50c | 1,576$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…6bb1backed No | 72c | 1,520$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 65c | 1,500$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.83 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 5c | 1,500$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,459$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…fb8fbacked No | 14c | 1,288$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed No | 79c | 1,270$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.9 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 1c | 1,255$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked No | 57c | 1,211$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 6c | 1,149$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 1,125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked No | 57c | 1,103$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.56 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 5c | 1,043$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4d…5ec7backed Yes | 45c | 1,032$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked No | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…081fbacked Yes | 22c | 999.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 75c | 999.99$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.99 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…f322backed No | 38c | 999.97$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b6…6c5cbacked Yes | 47c | 966.34$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 4c | 957.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a5…bb7ebacked Yes | 23c | 915$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.55 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…c90dbacked Yes | 23c | 907.89$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.07 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dba…bf85backed No | 35c | 899.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…f0aebacked No | 75c | 867.77$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…df5ebacked Yes | 21c | 848.84$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…e38bbacked No | 62c | 808.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked No | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…dbb1backed Yes | 42c | 799.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 3c | 794.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 112 | 2.7%3 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8434…55fcbacked No | 58c | 778.11$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…6c5ebacked Yes | 32c | 725.46$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed No | 5c | 725$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed Yes | 44c | 702$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.61 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5017…4daebacked No | 6c | 696.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…923dbacked No | 31c | 651.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 52c | 650.78$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.31 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked No | 64c | 649.99$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ff…997fbacked Yes | 57c | 645.04$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.04 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…bb52backed Yes | 52c | 623.57$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 4c | 608.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 52c | 599.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.24 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…f992backed No | 25c | 587.68$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.92 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…ee87backed No | 33c | 565.8$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.22 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…5c8dbacked Yes | 27c | 564.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.06 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 65c | 549.02$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.55 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…d562backed No | 70c | 545$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.1 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…01cabacked Yes | 52c | 526.79$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.48 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 30c | 506.75$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.68 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 42c | 504.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…8193backed No | 80c | 501.25$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…b5bfbacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0995…620dbacked No | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…495dbacked No | 51c | 499.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 18c | 489$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 34c | 486.57$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.71 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…1cb8backed Yes | 45c | 472.41$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.41 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…c7a1backed Yes | 46c | 466.72$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a4…0955backed Yes | 54c | 463.33$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…2522backed No | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?this page
- HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
- HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- HumidiFi FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- HumidiFi FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- HumidiFi FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- HumidiFi FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won
- HumidiFi FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
- HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.