Token Launches · resolved market
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5170d68ab05e09c20b2b5f82bc2fce80518bb4d8881997ffd5d89a017d115860
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 80c | 20,226$16,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,124.52 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 1c | 19,744$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.44 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 14c | 10,200$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 20c | 7,681$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.19 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 16c | 5,519$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.31 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed No | 0c | 5,310$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 4,801$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…6236backed No | 20c | 4,786$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.15 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…fc07backed No | 13c | 4,553$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.41 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c9…d693backed No | 1c | 4,227$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…8c14backed Yes | 68c | 3,981$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 15c | 3,339$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.46 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…abc0backed No | 28c | 3,298$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 16c | 2,800$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.05 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Yes | 78c | 2,600$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.16 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…d94cbacked No | 17c | 2,525$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 14c | 2,522$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.7 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…c192backed No | 12c | 2,472$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.93 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked No | 7c | 2,153$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.96 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a08…a5aabacked No | 16c | 2,112$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…ee87backed No | 19c | 2,024$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.08 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7622…8f80backed No | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 1c | 1,746$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f06…39c7backed No | 15c | 1,697$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.27 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…eb5cbacked No | 15c | 1,501$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 20c | 1,430$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 2c | 1,375$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…f992backed No | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…ebdebacked No | 22c | 1,077$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.52 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…7251backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 1c | 999.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed No | 14c | 962.9$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked No | 12c | 925.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Yes | 78c | 920.14$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.43 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…3e73backed No | 16c | 917.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…7ba3backed No | 12c | 857.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 17c | 854.56$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77e4…d18fbacked No | 21c | 820.46$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.16 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed No | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…5cc2backed No | 12c | 799.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 3c | 792.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 17c | 771.05$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 70c | 759.49$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.85 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5f…6fb2backed No | 13c | 745.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked No | 19c | 739.41$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 10c | 736.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…3e4ebacked No | 19c | 690$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…51b5backed No | 9c | 645$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…2ef7backed No | 12c | 599.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 23c | 596.31$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 78c | 593.83$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.73 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…05f6backed No | 12c | 573$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked No | 22c | 572.08$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…7a00backed No | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe058…d73ebacked No | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…8a0abacked No | 11c | 535$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111b…f904backed No | 23c | 524$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…9ffebacked No | 17c | 500$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…d8b7backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed No | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 16c | 488.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde34…ff56backed No | 26c | 469.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…00d4backed No | 19c | 441.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +12.3wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed No | 29c | 410.12$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfc…1a11backed No | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x070b…9ca2backed No | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…2e80backed No | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f3…5d04backed No | 16c | 386.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…f2a5backed No | 17c | 385.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…7b4ebacked No | 15c | 360$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x192f…bc4fbacked No | 8c | 350$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…f6d6backed No | 15c | 309.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc8…bdd5backed No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…7acebacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x327e…9587backed Yes | 67c | 297.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…8193backed No | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…d562backed No | 19c | 277.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…0737backed No | 14c | 274.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked No | 10c | 260$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 5c | 258.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d3…52b9backed No | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4d…aeafbacked No | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed No | 12c | 249.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…1e3ebacked No | 11c | 245.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf8…e39ebacked No | 35c | 240.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed No | 7c | 240$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 76c | 227.41$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 103 | 70.9%73 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb8…0269backed No | 23c | 203.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…5499backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…02b1backed No | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…a161backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…0f13backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed No | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2479…99a7backed No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…61b8backed No | 12c | 199.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 71c | 176.12$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed No | 14c | 176$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?this page
- HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
- HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- HumidiFi FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- HumidiFi FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- HumidiFi FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- HumidiFi FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won
- HumidiFi FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
- HumidiFi FDV above $80M one day after launch?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.