TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7329…d562

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$102.42
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$124.34
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$133.25
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$45.5
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$74.96
VOOI FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+37%+$26.62
VOOI FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.24
VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+79.9%+$85.48
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+100.4%+$181.36
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+334.8%+$46.2
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+177.8%+$64
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$417.09
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20.25
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$40.51
Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$35.5
Will Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.74
Will Almanak FDV above $120M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+30.6%+$127.69
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$379.1
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$53.16
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$613Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+213.6%+$1,308.71
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$184
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+180.9%+$117.26
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$344.3
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+75%+$64.77
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$58.22
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.74
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$41.9
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+66.7%+$37.85
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+39.9%+$39.43
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+122.6%+$129.14
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.3%+$96.85
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+78.6%+$88
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$301.79
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$209.99
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+122.9%+$47.95
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+185.7%+$39
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-59.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+114.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during NVIDIA keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+233.3%+$95.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+56.3%+$25.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+37.7%+$95.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.