Token Launches · resolved market
VOOI FDV above $50M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd447307ef1f976dbabbd527bf4726fc80e8e74e7601608742c90933c24e6886b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3b6…86abbacked Yes | 3c | 18,268$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.84 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 8,209$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…50ffbacked Yes | 33c | 1,545$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.81 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…a686backed No | 68c | 1,425$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.05 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x667d…052dbacked Yes | 30c | 928.09$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 55c | 714.9$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.26 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e1…c852backed Yes | 47c | 629.75$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.64 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…4136backed Yes | 73c | 547.12$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 49c | 519.21$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.34 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed Yes | 58c | 455.43$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed No | 43c | 442.64$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.75 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…227bbacked No | 69c | 347.86$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…e30ebacked No | 58c | 343.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 69c | 309.12$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes | 58c | 235.45$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.65 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc9…dfa9backed Yes | 25c | 228.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12e…5aabbacked No | 44c | 208.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed Yes | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 19c | 195.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…307fbacked No | 41c | 180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…2970backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…d562backed No | 58c | 171.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f5febacked Yes | 45c | 145$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Yes | 77c | 121.37$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 36c | 114.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…7ac3backed No | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…5d2ebacked No | 25c | 91.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 37c | 80.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…177fbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed No | 24c | 56.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…b630backed Yes | 57c | 40.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 31c | 36.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…504dbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bc…d85bbacked No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…e6b5backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6f…25f8backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…a1fcbacked Yes | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VOOI FDV above $50M one day after launch?this page
- VOOI FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.