Token Launches · resolved market
VOOI FDV above $200M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb6844804d5450892ec3680ad61040648a8bf0f7840943cab10465a114884de3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,394$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…01abbacked Yes | 23c | 4,068$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.13 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…e7dabacked Yes | 25c | 1,896$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 12c | 1,146$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.56 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…3218backed No | 76c | 1,000$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.45 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +268.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…8e7dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…9603backed No | 75c | 997.68$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.42 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 8c | 908$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…1f69backed No | 79c | 869.99$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e45…6f64backed No | 74c | 745.02$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.95 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…6c5ebacked Yes | 14c | 697.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 17c | 656.81$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.38 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…58fcbacked Yes | 16c | 630$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 72c | 600.71$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.94 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…6033backed No | 74c | 599.96$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 11c | 531.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 496.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 65c | 486.44$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.84 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…14f3backed Yes | 23c | 482.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…994fbacked No | 77c | 474.99$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…e3dcbacked Yes | 24c | 415.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…fc83backed Yes | 21c | 384.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…72a9backed No | 72c | 343.72$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…03a5backed Yes | 31c | 322.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…e51dbacked No | 79c | 317.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…3c96backed Yes | 20c | 282.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 52cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…ff05backed No | 72c | 240.21$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 19c | 209.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b3…373ebacked No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2767…ffb2backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…77ccbacked Yes | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…01fdbacked Yes | 28c | 142.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d21…3842backed Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…07d8backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 14c | 130.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…bf6bbacked No | 79c | 126.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…61b8backed No | 70c | 123.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f8…a3f1backed No | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +534.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…eaf0backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12e…5aabbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f8…a547backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…d562backed No | 73c | 98.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d0…46f6backed Yes | 24c | 83.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…675dbacked Yes | 17c | 80.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…654cbacked No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0124…82cfbacked Yes | 28c | 70.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee2…574cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…aba5backed No | 76c | 60.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 22c | 55.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 70c | 54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 465 | 20.4%95 W · 370 L | -68.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…9553backed Yes | 24c | 50.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…2761backed No | 71c | 46.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…12a5backed No | 62c | 20.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 78c | 19.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked No | 63c | 16.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VOOI FDV above $200M one day after launch?this page
- VOOI FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $50M one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.