Token Launches · resolved market
VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bd748502a252ed3a96416c2c21a6839f5aab6dbc81e454bbcc9be1d26f3414d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 65c | 19,431$12,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,825.61 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…01abbacked Yes | 14c | 12,174$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.96 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…a7babacked Yes | 40c | 10,984$4,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,393.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked No | 77c | 7,915$6,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.26 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…7207backed Yes | 31c | 7,593$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…2cb0backed Yes | 47c | 7,488$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 26c | 7,483$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.34 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…80a3backed No | 52c | 6,311$3,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.41 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…3218backed No | 76c | 4,636$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.34 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +268.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,216$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…be8cbacked Yes | 11c | 4,000$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.55 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed No | 78c | 3,897$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.39 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 15c | 3,849$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.94 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 72c | 3,825$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.79 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…e7d0backed No | 68c | 2,606$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.02 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 63cpaid | +64%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…e7dabacked Yes | 11c | 2,234$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa2…b16bbacked Yes | 23c | 2,156$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…43babacked Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f9…55f0backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e45…6f64backed No | 72c | 1,964$1,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.49 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,830$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…df43backed No | 74c | 1,818$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…cd17backed Yes | 14c | 1,660$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…f291backed Yes | 11c | 1,539$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 79c | 1,509$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.88 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked Yes | 10c | 1,507$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea2c…e5f0backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cf…cb79backed Yes | 18c | 1,400$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67f3…3f61backed No | 66c | 1,391$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 1,212$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b7…12b9backed No | 59c | 1,160$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x850f…220cbacked No | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…ee87backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 20c | 999.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa699…d0bcbacked Yes | 32c | 931.49$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 905$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed Yes | 31c | 904.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.3 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…f5dcbacked No | 59c | 840$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…2ae3backed Yes | 32c | 769.47$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…c1b1backed Yes | 26c | 750.91$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2454…5263backed Yes | 34c | 741.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…e996backed Yes | 13c | 740.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +70%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…6780backed Yes | 18c | 723.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…63c3backed Yes | 29c | 690.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Yes | 31c | 652.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…ab1fbacked Yes | 15c | 650$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…0efebacked No | 62c | 637.64$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.81 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44a6…d1bbbacked No | 80c | 635.76$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe58e…2a67backed Yes | 35c | 627$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…9249backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…eff8backed Yes | 21c | 599.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eac…8aedbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…ba92backed Yes | 20c | 547.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Yes | 19c | 529.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…578fbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4c…de5bbacked No | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 8c | 462.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556f…f4e4backed Yes | 24c | 425.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…eac3backed Yes | 23c | 425$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…4136backed Yes | 24c | 423.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb506…a470backed Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…716dbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…e211backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Yes | 18c | 396.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1839…8825backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efa…9839backed Yes | 42c | 351$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…01fdbacked Yes | 11c | 336.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 31c | 322.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 6c | 300.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…d784backed No | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa963…03e3backed Yes | 34c | 294.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…9832backed Yes | 34c | 294.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86b…8e43backed Yes | 20c | 277.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…0b63backed Yes | 38c | 268.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42f…6b97backed Yes | 12c | 256.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Yes | 13c | 254$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 72c | 249.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd12e…5aabbacked Yes | 12c | 229.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9f…358cbacked Yes | 31c | 222.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…923dbacked Yes | 23c | 218.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2919backed Yes | 27c | 210$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0124…82cfbacked Yes | 9c | 208.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d70…565fbacked Yes | 34c | 203.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…03a5backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…69acbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…8e7dbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea1…327abacked No | 80c | 167.48$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…bf6bbacked No | 77c | 167.27$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…37d7backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 34c | 152.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…fc6abacked Yes | 34c | 148.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…1a6cbacked Yes | 36c | 140.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33a…223fbacked Yes | 29c | 136.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…f5a9backed Yes | 15c | 135.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed Yes | 19c | 133.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21aa…675dbacked Yes | 20c | 131.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d0…46f6backed Yes | 16c | 125.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yes | 25c | 122.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 16c | 118.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?this page
- VOOI FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $50M one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.