Token Launches · resolved market
VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c3105285803b6dcd86d682b137e7f31a993994d1ac84384806faad5f81b96c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe99a…e9fbbacked No | 50c | 14,191$7,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,163.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed Yes | 67c | 11,800$7,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,885.34 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…41c2backed Yes | 48c | 9,010$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,296.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…01abbacked Yes | 56c | 7,643$4,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,306.87 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cd…5634backed Yes | 54c | 5,580$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked Yes | 53c | 5,314$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.53 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…910dbacked No | 50c | 5,309$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…ba8fbacked Yes | 29c | 4,802$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.46 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 52c | 4,409$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,128.47 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,104$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…f992backed Yes | 52c | 2,750$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.58 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6b…1c60backed No | 39c | 2,625$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2163…7ec2backed No | 59c | 2,538$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.84 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 47c | 2,432$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.5 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06f6…05bfbacked No | 61c | 2,392$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes | 45c | 2,365$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.7 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed Yes | 39c | 2,080$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.6 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked No | 31c | 2,066$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.2 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 42c | 2,000$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.29 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 39c | 1,860$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.51 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 52c | 1,744$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.6 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…427abacked No | 47c | 1,744$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.86 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,557$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.53 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes | 51c | 1,500$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…be6cbacked No | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.98 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…e7dabacked Yes | 54c | 1,438$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c2…637ebacked No | 38c | 1,298$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.58 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 33cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,243$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b6…86abbacked Yes | 7c | 1,200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…72a9backed No | 42c | 1,176$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6f…c515backed No | 71c | 1,077$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,069$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked Yes | 67c | 1,051$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked Yes | 23c | 1,036$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.33 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 52c | 995.56$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.14 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf5…b7f7backed Yes | 51c | 977.05$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea0…bf6dbacked No | 40c | 875.49$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.63 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…a686backed No | 78c | 787$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.27 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 763.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…21b0backed No | 35c | 753.51$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.2 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed No | 67c | 747.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.91 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed No | 46c | 700$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2767…ffb2backed No | 42c | 688.67$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 49c | 650.51$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.22 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…3218backed No | 40c | 641.67$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.48 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +268.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…6033backed No | 41c | 630.32$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.1 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bad…aa78backed Yes | 52c | 617.32$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.83 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…50ffbacked Yes | 7c | 605.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…981bbacked No | 45c | 588$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f8…a3f1backed No | 39c | 520$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 32cpaid | +534.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 6c | 519.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6581…0206backed Yes | 57c | 517.83$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 39c | 513.04$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.93 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed No | 39c | 512.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…bbd8backed No | 54c | 503$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…6c43backed No | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc073…ab63backed Yes | 51c | 487.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f5febacked Yes | 15c | 473$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…07d8backed Yes | 46c | 424.38$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…b56dbacked Yes | 60c | 415.13$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb506…a470backed Yes | 62c | 400.1$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7633…1a22backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 42c | 391.75$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.78 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…e51dbacked No | 41c | 371.39$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.28 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea07…d8b7backed No | 35c | 360.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.33 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed No | 51c | 358$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.42 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e4…9187backed No | 37c | 357.78$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.98 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…1c1bbacked No | 56c | 355$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…9603backed No | 59c | 337.92$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…7baebacked No | 60c | 330.3$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc001…4b7cbacked No | 31c | 320$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…6c5ebacked Yes | 9c | 318.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…7a79backed Yes | 48c | 313.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d0…46f6backed Yes | 56c | 304.6$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.77 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…d8bcbacked Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…8e7dbacked Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33cf…cb79backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf68…474ebacked No | 31c | 297.35$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes | 5c | 284.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…d360backed Yes | 57c | 284.19$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…12a5backed No | 42c | 278$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.06 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…37f9backed Yes | 61c | 274.88$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…33a9backed No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0feb…9876backed No | 41c | 257.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.96 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f63…bdc8backed No | 45c | 253.62$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc9…851cbacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…4af9backed No | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…01f0backed No | 33c | 248.18$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 41c | 226.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e1…e14ebacked No | 42c | 220$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…6660backed Yes | 49c | 205.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 55c | 205.8$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…a5f0backed No | 63c | 201.29$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.42 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b4…3c6ebacked No | 34c | 200$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…cd17backed Yes | 54c | 200$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?this page
- VOOI FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $50M one day after launch?No won
- VOOI FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.