TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0feb…9876

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Commodities, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 52 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Paradex FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$130.51
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$919.92
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Superform FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+25.3%+$25.31
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.2%+$33.21
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+40.8%+$81.69
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+186.6%+$373.29
VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+143.9%+$151.96
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+42.6%+$95.94
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$51.38
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$166.87
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$360.8
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Natus Vincere vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$246.82
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$9.65
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.39
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$15.45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+46%+$45.99
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+49.3%+$19.7
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,143Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+168.6%+$3,612.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+68.6%+$17.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$34.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$405.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.