Token Launches · resolved market
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cb172480db5a2ee9a024bd965418d0fa01fe7a802ad2b9d26c1e8816eea27ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $392,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $460,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 419 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe23b…9133backed No | 24c | 30,708$7,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,245.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 1c | 24,833$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.64 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 79c | 11,813$9,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.5 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ff…1775backed No | 0c | 10,990$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed No | 9c | 10,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.7 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be3…c64fbacked Yes | 45c | 8,802$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,851.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked No | 12c | 5,300$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked No | 70c | 5,254$3,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,677.29 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed No | 1c | 5,179$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…b3eebacked No | 55c | 4,832$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…e9fbbacked Yes | 66c | 4,705$3,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed No | 27c | 4,227$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 61c | 4,123$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.11 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 31c | 4,097$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,823.22 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 3,804$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31c…dc78backed No | 53c | 3,798$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked No | 60c | 3,500$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.51 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed No | 44c | 3,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.99 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…d5c3backed Yes | 32c | 3,440$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9af2…b14ebacked No | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +1,240%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 41c | 2,792$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.36 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…80e6backed Yes | 65c | 2,776$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.84 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 69c | 2,739$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.36 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 53c | 2,697$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.58 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b49…b927backed Yes | 23c | 2,600$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd588…cec0backed Yes | 50c | 2,598$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.19 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e6…4bd4backed Yes | 40c | 2,527$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.96 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…ce96backed Yes | 30c | 2,373$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…f332backed Yes | 45c | 2,372$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.4 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 7c | 2,372$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.74 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…cb6cbacked No | 55c | 2,360$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.34 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…5be2backed No | 64c | 2,190$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 29cpaid | -92%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 39c | 2,160$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.44 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 63c | 2,154$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.71 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb266…ccbdbacked No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Yes | 31c | 1,969$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.5 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x186d…01e0backed Yes | 43c | 1,952$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.98 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c2…c7aebacked Yes | 70c | 1,951$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.61 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…a996backed Yes | 44c | 1,891$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.96 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +119%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x886d…3b81backed No | 65c | 1,759$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…c869backed Yes | 61c | 1,726$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…4503backed Yes | 29c | 1,717$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Yes | 45c | 1,700$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.98 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…cc5bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,696$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked Yes | 46c | 1,686$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.7 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8635…54efbacked No | 63c | 1,597$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 64c | 1,553$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.71 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed No | 52c | 1,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd20…6f83backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +186%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 44c | 1,499$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.67 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked Yes | 35c | 1,453$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.72 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…fc67backed No | 50c | 1,425$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…0a3cbacked Yes | 38c | 1,422$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…50debacked No | 59c | 1,401$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf3…c6c5backed Yes | 33c | 1,347$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7c…302dbacked No | 75c | 1,335$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed Yes | 49c | 1,221$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 12c | 1,213$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.88 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 39c | 1,200$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 56c | 1,166$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.94 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe238…617bbacked No | 11c | 1,160$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…549abacked No | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c08…122ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,125$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 1,089$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.59 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe25…8150backed Yes | 45c | 1,083$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…4bc1backed Yes | 46c | 1,015$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 67c | 1,013$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,010$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.3 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3b…63b7backed Yes | 44c | 1,007$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed No | 52c | 1,000$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e0…c5d3backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 17cpaid | +213.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31e1…c852backed No | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 32c | 973.2$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.85 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed No | 58c | 937.68$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…b608backed Yes | 57c | 937$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.58 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +340.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed No | 53c | 927.98$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.37 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…b140backed No | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 32c | 877$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed Yes | 31c | 877$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea3…2f74backed No | 78c | 860$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 31c | 855$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 69c | 855$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed No | 60c | 827.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…2fe8backed Yes | 45c | 811.71$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 30c | 798.03$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.17 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed No | 44c | 788.2$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22b…d318backed No | 50c | 787.64$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…6cbdbacked Yes | 37c | 781.98$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5420…dad5backed Yes | 51c | 775.78$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed Yes | 54c | 752.96$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9390…ad5cbacked Yes | 28c | 713.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c17…a516backed No | 72c | 712.6$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1657…c27ebacked No | 60c | 709.99$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed Yes | 32c | 706$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed Yes | 51c | 700$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.78 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7751…7372backed Yes | 75c | 700$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…6aecbacked No | 71c | 699.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 65c | 699.84$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.94 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…a978backed No | 68c | 698$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?this page
- Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?No won
- Over $25M committed to the Trove public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Trove public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
- Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
- Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.